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Bahia vs Fluminense Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Bahia vs Fluminense

Here you will find the best prediction for Bahia vs Fluminense in the Brazilian Serie A, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Bahia and Fluminense.

Bahia logo
Bahia

  • February 5, 2026 – 22::00
  • Brazilian Serie A

  • 2026
  • Regular season – Round 2
Fluminense logo
Fluminense


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Bahia vs Fluminense

The best prediction for
Bahia vs Fluminense in the Brazilian Serie A is over 2.5 goals. The home side is motivated, looking to capitalize on their strong start in the first round, while Fluminense is also expected to take an offensive stance, creating goal-scoring opportunities throughout the game. The matchup has the potential to exceed 2.5 goals, as both teams are likely to expose themselves in their search for victory and continuation of their positive momentum.

Match prediction for Bahia vs Fluminense

The teams Bahia and Fluminense play at Arena Fonte Nova in a match of the 2nd round of the Brazilian Serie A. The head-to-head record in this stadium favors the home team, which has won 4 out of the last 5 encounters, with 1 draw. In their last meeting at this stadium during the Copa do Brasil on August 28, 2025, Bahia won 1-0. It’s essential to pay attention to home/away performance, as both teams display significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis Bahia

Bahia comes into this second round following a victory in their league debut against Corinthians, winning 2-1. The team is influenced by the home advantage, showing stronger performances when playing in front of their fans. In their last 30 matches, they have recorded 4 victories, 3 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, scoring 18 goals and conceding 27, compared to 13 wins and 2 losses at home, with 36 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last game in the Baiano 1st Division, they won 3-1 at home against Porto BA. In their last 10 home games, Bahia boasts 9 wins and 1 loss, with their attack scoring regularly, having netted in 9 of those 10 matches. Out of 15 games, they have managed to turn around the scoreline in 2 of the 6 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Bahia begins the second round encouraged by their away victory in the first round, arriving confident and motivated to seek another three points at home. The team is expected to maintain defensive organization, control the pace of the game, and exploit space to create scoring opportunities through counterattacks and quick plays. Tactical consistency and attention to detail will be crucial in continuing their good streak, imposing their game against Fluminense while building on the confidence gained in the previous round.

Analysis Fluminense

The visiting team enters this second round after a victory in their debut against Grêmio, winning 2-1. Fluminense is also influenced by home advantage, performing better with the support of their fans. In their last 30 games, they achieved 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 11 goals and conceding 16. At home, they recorded 13 victories, 1 draw, and 1 loss, netting 27 goals and conceding 6. In their last game in the Carioca 1st Division, they won 1-0 away against Botafogo. In their last 10 away matches, Fluminense achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Their defensive solidity has not been a strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has performed regularly, scoring in 9 of the last 10 games. Notably, 3 of their last 7 goals were scored in the 46′-60′ minute range, while they conceded 4 of their 10 goals in the same timeframe.

Fluminense arrives motivated by their performance in the first round, where they secured three points. Away from home, the team will need to balance defensive caution with swift offensive attempts to penetrate Bahia’s lines. Tactical organization and efficiency in finishing will be key factors in maintaining a positive streak in the league.

Best prediction for Bahia vs Fluminense

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or treble)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier suggestion)


 

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