AVS vs Moreirense Prediction – Primeira League

January 3, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for AVS vs Moreirense

Here you will find the best prediction for AVS vs Moreirense in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between AVS vs Moreirense.

AVS

January 3, 2026 – 5:30
Primeira Liga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 17

Moreirense

Betting tip and prediction for this match between AVS vs Moreirense

The best prediction for AVS vs Moreirense in the Primeira Liga is that this will be a tactical encounter with likely few goals. Vasco Costa’s team has been seen playing carefully, and after a recent scoreless draw, the side is not expected to take many risks against an AVS team struggling offensively.

Best prediction for AVS vs Moreirense

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

Match prediction for AVS vs Moreirense

The teams AVS and Moreirense are set to play at the Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves in a match for Round 17 of the Primeira Liga. Over the past three years, there are records of only two direct confrontations between these two teams: one on May 17, 2025, which ended with Moreirense winning 3-0, and the most recent on January 4, 2025, which ended in a 1-1 draw. Special attention is needed for home/away performance, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of AVS

The home team is currently in 18th place, with 4 points from 4 draws and 12 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew at home with Nacional 2-2. In the last match, they lost away to Porto 2-0. Interestingly, this team has achieved better results away from home rather than at home, as in their last 30 games, they have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, scoring 17 goals and conceding 41, compared to 1 win, 5 draws, and 9 losses at home, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. In their last 8 home matches in the league, AVS has recorded 3 draws and 5 losses, obtaining only 3 points from a possible 24.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 16 matches played. The most frequent score at halftime in their home matches this season has been 0-1, which has occurred in 4 out of 8 games. The team has not been defensively strong, as they have conceded goals in their last 10 games in this competition. This is a team that rarely scores first and has only managed to open the scoring in 2 out of their last 16 matches in the Primeira Liga; of these, they maintained a halftime lead in 1 but never kept the advantage until the end of the 90 minutes. In 16 matches in the competition, they have never managed to turn around the score in 14 matches when conceding the first goal. There are moments to note in the last 18 matches played at home in all competitions: they scored 6 of their 16 goals between the minutes (61’-75’).

The AVS team has further sunk to the bottom of the table after losing to FC Porto 0-2. Although this result isn’t surprising, it came at a particularly delicate time for the AFS team. With only 4 points, now under the guidance of João Henriques, the AFS has seen Casa Pia and Arouca gain another point, creating a 10-point gap that separates them from the last safe spot. It’s clear that this match against Moreirense is crucial for the AFS team.

Analysis of Moreirense

After 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 8th position with 21 points. In their last match, they drew 0-0 away to Estrela Amadora, following a previous home loss to Benfica, 0-4. This team is stronger when playing at home, with their last 30 matches showing 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, versus 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses in their home games. In the league, Moreirense has earned 8 points from 24 possible, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 8 away matches. The most common halftime result in their league away games has been 0-0 (3 in 8 matches). The team has allowed goals from opponents in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has been scoring regularly, having found the net in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. In 15 matches this season, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 6 matches where they conceded first.

Moreirense seems to have exhausted their “stock of victories”, with 5 consecutive games alternating between draws and losses. While it was expected that they couldn’t sustain high performance for long, it was also unforeseen that they would go so many matches without a win. Nonetheless, this team under Vasco Costa has remained competitive and has been able to secure points even away from home, as seen in the two recent trips to Estrela.

Best prediction for AVS vs Moreirense

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)