AVS vs Arouca Prediction – Primeira League

January 17, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for AVS vs Arouca

Here you will find the best prediction for AVS vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to offer the best prediction for this match between AVS and Arouca.

AVS

January 17, 2026 – 18::00
Primeira Liga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 18

Arouca

Betting tip and prediction for this match between AVS vs Arouca

The best prediction for AVS vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga is that both teams will score. This is one of those matches where both teams urgently need a victory. A draw would exacerbate the situation for both clubs, so it’s expected that both teams will roll up their sleeves and take the necessary risks to aim for the 3 points. Both teams have been vulnerable defensively, which could likely lead to several goals, and very probably both teams scoring.

Best prediction for AVS vs Arouca

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier tip)

Match prediction for AVS vs Arouca

The teams AVS and Arouca are facing off at the Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves in a match of the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last meeting in this competition on August 9, 2025, Arouca won at home by a score of 3-1. The recent head-to-head record favors the away team, which has 3 victories and 1 draw in their last 4 matches. In this matchup, the home advantage may play an important role since AVS has shown significant differences in their home and away performances.

Analysis of AVS

After 4 draws and 13 defeats, the home team is in 18th place, having collected 4 points. In their last match, they lost to Moreirense at home by a score of 0-2, following a previous away loss to Porto by 2-0. Notably, this team has actually performed better away than at home, with their last 30 matches recording 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, compared to 1 win, 5 draws, and 9 losses at home. In the league, AVS has only gained 3 points from 27 possible, with 3 draws and 6 defeats in their last 9 home games.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 17 matches. The most frequent halftime score in their home games has been 0-1 (5 in 9 games). Their defensive solidity has not been a strong point, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend of goals in their home games, as 8 of their last 9 matches in the competition have ended with over 1.5 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first, having only opened the scoring in 2 of their last 17 Primeira Liga matches; from those, they led at halftime in one but never managed to maintain the lead until the end of the 90 minutes. In 17 matches in the competition, they have never turned around the score in the 15 games where they conceded the first goal. One noteworthy period in their last 19 home matches across all competitions is that they scored 6 of their 16 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

The coaching carousel continues at AVS, but the results remain largely unchanged. The team from Vila das Aves holds the “red lantern”; with only 4 points gathered, already 8 points behind Tondela, and 10 behind Arouca and Casa Pia, who are the last teams in the safe zone. As expected, the last match resulted in another defeat, for the team now managed by João Henriques, continuing their streak of losses, this time at home against Moreirense, by 2 unanswered goals. Now, facing Arouca presents not only a major opportunity for AVS to return to the path of victories but also to potentially turn around their results and finally start their recovery.

Confirmed lineup: Simão Verza Bertelli, Cristian David Castro Devenish, Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos, Leonardo Rivas, Diogo Spencer, Carlos Ponck, Pedro Lima Barros, Jaume Grau Ciscar, Tomané, Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola, Guilherme Neiva Silva.
Manager: J. Costa Almeida.

Analysis of Arouca

After 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, the away team is in 16th place, having collected 14 points. In their last match, they lost to Tondela away by a score of 3-1, after previously drawing at home against Gil Vicente 2-2. This is a team that has maintained productivity when playing away, with their last 30 matches recording 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at home. In their last 8 away matches in the league, Arouca has 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses from 24 possible points.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 5 away matches. Defensive solidity has not been a strength for them lately, as they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend for goals, as 6 out of 8 games have ended with over 2.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score in 1 of the 9 games where they conceded the first goal.

Vasco Seabra remains as the manager of Arouca, which is evident, as he has proven competent and has a strong identity with the club. However, this has been the most challenging season for the Portuguese coach, seeing his team in 16th position, the first in the relegation zone, without showing signs of a possible recovery. Without a win in 3 matches, the defeat in the previous match against Tondela was not well received by the fans. Nonetheless, all is not lost, and the team from Serra da Freita is level on points with Casa Pia, so even a draw could lift them out of the red zone.

Confirmed lineup: Nico Mantl, Tiago Esgaio, José Fontán, Boris Popović, Matías Rocha, Espen van Ee, Hyun-ju Lee, Pedro Santos, Naïs Djouahra, Iván Barbero, Alfonso Trezza.
Manager: D. Lopes Ramos.