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Atlético vs Mallorca Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Atlético x Mallorca

Here you will find the best prediction for Atlético x Mallorca in La Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Atlético x Mallorca.

Atlético logo
Atlético

  • January 25, 2026 – 13::00
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Mallorca logo
Mallorca


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atlético x Mallorca:

The best prediction for Atlético x Mallorca in La Liga is over 2.5 goals. Both Atlético Madrid and Mallorca have played positively in their recent games, often creating opportunities that put pressure on their opponents’ defenses. It’s important to note that the “Over 2.5 Goals” market has been a winning bet in 70% of Mallorca’s away games. Therefore, it’s expected that both teams will continue their style of play and easily create scoring opportunities.

Best prediction for Atlético x Mallorca

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
More than 2.5 goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Atlético x Mallorca

The teams Atlético Madrid and Mallorca will face off at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a match for Round 21 of La Liga. The last encounter between these two teams ended in a 1-1 draw on September 21, 2025. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 3 of the last 4 matches and lost 1. Indeed, in the most recent meeting at this stadium for La Liga, on February 1, 2025, Atlético Madrid won 2-0. The goals for Atlético were scored by Antoine Griezmann (90′) and Samuel Lino (26′). There is a notable difference in home/away performance, as both teams have significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of Atlético

After 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, the home team is in 3rd place, having accumulated 41 points. In their last match, they won against Deportivo Alavés at home 1-0, following a draw away against Real Sociedad in their previous match (1-1). This team shows strength when playing at home, as they have recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 away games; compared to 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their home stadium. They enter this match after a 1-1 draw away with Galatasaray. In the league, Atlético has earned 28 points out of a possible 30, achieving 9 wins and 1 draw in their last 10 home matches.

In this competition, they have a streak of 9 consecutive wins at home and have not lost any of their last 10 matches at home. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. They tend to take the lead early, scoring first in 19 of their last 20 matches in La Liga, of which they led at halftime in 7 and maintained their advantage until the end in 12.

Atlético Madrid comes into this match after a draw away at Galatasaray in a Champions League match. In their last league match, they defeated Alavés 1-0. The home team typically plays in a 4-4-2 tactical setup, with Alexander Sørloth and Julián Alvarez bearing the main responsibilities in attack. Offensively, the team tends to exploit the right flank, leveraging the forward runs of full-back Marcos Llorente to create imbalances. Clément Lenglet is unavailable for this match due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Jan Oblak, Dávid Hancko, Marcos Llorente, Matteo Ruggeri, Marc Pubill, Pablo Barrios, Johnny Cardoso, Julián Alvarez, Alexander Sørloth, Thiago Almada, Giuliano Simeone.
Coach: D. Simeone.

Analysis of Mallorca

After 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, the away team is in 15th place, having gathered 21 points. In their last match, they won against Athletic Bilbao at home 3-2, after losing away to Rayo Vallecano in the previous game 2-1. This team is impacted by the home factor, performing better with the support of their fans. In the last 30 games, they have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses away, with a total of 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home, they have achieved 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a total of 20 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the league, Mallorca has earned 5 points out of a possible 30, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 away games.

For this competition, they have not won as visitors in 5 matches. In away league games, the most common final score has been 2-1 (4 out of 10 games). Defensively, they have struggled, conceding goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 league matches. In their away games, there is a trend for goals, as 7 of 10 matches ended with more than 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only managed to turn the match around once. There has been 1 notable period in their last 10 away matches for this competition: they conceded 6 of their 17 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

The Mallorca team comes into this match with a victory, defeating Athletic Bilbao 3-2, putting an end to a three-game winless streak in La Liga: all three goals were scored by Vedat Muriqi. Playing with a tactical setup of 4-4-2, the away team relies on the mobility of Jan Virgili and the experience of Vedat Muriqi to energize their offensive play. The right flank is often the preferred channel for attacks, with Pablo Maffeo standing out for his constant overlaps that disrupt the opposition’s defense. All players are available for this game.

Confirmed lineup: Leo Román, Marash Kumbulla, Martin Valjent, Mateu Morey, Toni Lato, Samú Costa, Sergi Darder, Omar Mascarell, Vedat Muriqi, Mateo Joseph, Jan Virgili.
Coach: J. Aguirre Onaindía.

Best prediction for Atlético x Mallorca

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
More than 2.5 goals (riskier bet)

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