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Atlético vs Alavés Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Atlético vs Alavés

Here you will find the best prediction for Atlético vs Alavés in La Liga, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Atlético and Alavés.

Atlético logo
Atlético

  • January 18, 2026 – 15::15
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Alavés logo
Alavés


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atlético vs Alavés

The best prediction for Atlético vs Alavés in La Liga is a win for Atlético Madrid. The home side will benefit from strong support from their fans and is currently enjoying better form compared to Alavés. It is also worth noting that Atlético has won their last eight matches at home. Given these factors, betting on the home team in this match is a solid choice.

Best prediction for Atlético vs Alavés

Asian Handicap, Atlético -1

Match prediction for Atlético vs Alavés

The teams Atlético and Alavés are set to face off at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a match from the 20th round of La Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on August 30, 2025, the final result was a 1-1 draw. Historically, the record at this stadium favors the home team, who has won 4 out of the last 4 encounters. In fact, the last time they met at this venue was on November 23, 2024, in a La Liga game that ended with Atlético Madrid winning 2-1. The goals were scored by Antoine Griezmann (76′) and A. Sørloth (86′) for Atlético, and by Jon Guridi (7′) for Alavés. The home factor could play a significant role in this match, as both teams show considerable disparities in their home and away performances.

Atlético Analysis

The home team is currently in 4th place, with 38 points from 11 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. In their second to last match, they won away against Girona 3-0. In their latest match, they drew away against Real Sociedad 1-1. This team performs better at home, as their last 30 matches show 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses away, compared to 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss at home. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they defeated Deportivo La Coruña 1-0 away. In their last 9 league matches at home, Atlético boasts 8 victories and 1 draw, earning 25 points from a possible 27.

For this competition, they have a streak of 8 wins in their last home games and have not lost any of their last 9 matches at their stadium. Their attack has been consistently scoring, having found the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. This is a team that often scores first: they opened the scoring in 18 of their last 19 matches in La Liga, leading at halftime in 7 of those and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle in 11 instances.

Atlético Madrid enters this match after a 1-0 victory against Deportivo La Coruña in the Copa del Rey. In their last La Liga match, the hosts drew 1-1 against Real Sociedad. The home side tends to operate in a tactical 4-4-2 formation, with Julián Alvarez and Alexander Sørloth as the two forwards. Notably, when they launch an offensive, they often exploit the right side, utilizing the depth offered by Marcos Llorente. Clément Lenglet and Koke are absent from this game due to injury concerns.

Confirmed lineup: Jan Oblak, Dávid Hancko, Marc Pubill, Marcos Llorente, Matteo Ruggeri, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Álex Baena, Alexander Sørloth, Giuliano Simeone, Julián Alvarez.
Coach: D. Simeone.

Alavés Analysis

After recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, the visiting team sits in 16th place with 19 points. In their last match, they lost away to Villarreal 3-1, after previously drawing at home against Real Oviedo 1-1. This is a team that is affected by playing at home, performing better with the support of their fans, as their last 30 matches indicate 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses away, scoring a total of 17 goals and conceding 16. At home, they secured 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 17 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match for the Copa del Rey, they won against Rayo Vallecano 2-0. In their last 9 league matches away, Alavés collected 1 win, 1 draw, and 7 losses, earning 4 points from a possible 27.

In this competition, they have lost their last 6 matches away and have not won any of their last 7 matches played as visitors. Their away games often feature common outcomes: a score of 0-0 at halftime (5 out of 9 games) and ending 1-0 (4 out of 9 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Additionally, their away matches tend to have few goals, with 6 of their last 9 games ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. Out of 19 matches in this competition, they have never managed to overturn the score in the 12 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Deportivo Alavés enters this match following a 2-0 victory at home against Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey. In their last La Liga match, the visitors lost to Villarreal 3-1. The visiting team typically employs a tactical 4-3-3 formation, favoring a faster style of play. In this setup, the players tasked with causing trouble in the opposing defense are Toni Martínez, Carlos Vicente, and Carles Aleñá. When they pursue an offensive strategy, they usually do so through the right flank, utilizing the width provided by fullback Jonny Otto. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Antonio Sivera, Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco, Victor Parada, Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Carles Aleñá, Pablo Ibáñez, Carlos Vicente, Toni Martínez.
Coach: L. García Plaza.

Best prediction for Atlético vs Alavés

Asian Handicap, Atlético -1

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