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Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction – Primera División
Check out the best predictions for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas
Here you will find the best prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas in the top division, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from their latest matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas.
 Atletico Nacional |
|  Once Caldas |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas
The best prediction for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas in the Primera Division is a victory for Atletico Nacional. Playing at home, Atletico Nacional is keen to maintain their attacking prowess. While the visiting side will aim to hold firm, the home team is likely to take control and push for the win. Hence, backing Atletico Nacional for the win offers a compelling option in this matchup.
The best prediction for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional to win
Match preview: Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas face off at Atanasio Girardot Stadium in a first-round match of the Primera Division. Historically, the home team has the advantage in direct encounters at this stadium, winning 4 of the last 6 matches and drawing 2. In fact, their latest meeting here for the top division on 26‑01-2025 resulted in a convincing 4‑0 win for Atletico Nacional, with goals from Edwin Cardona, Joan Castro, and Juan Zapata. Notably, the home/away performance of both teams shows stark contrasts, making home advantage crucial.
Team analysis: Atletico Nacional
The home side enters this first-round match armed with the confidence garnered from finishing 5th in the previous classification phase (Apertura) with a total of 35 points. Atletico Nacional are significantly stronger on home soil, recording 13 wins, 1 draw and just 1 loss at home compared to 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses when away. Their recent home performance saw them claiming 25 points from the last 10 games, with a remarkable 8 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss. The team’s defensive solidity has seen them concede goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has remained potent, netting in 7 of those 10 fixtures. Additionally, 7 of their last 10 home games concluded with over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In the 20 matches played, Atletico Nacional conceded the first goal 6 times without managing to turn the scoring around. Crucial to highlight is a pattern where they allowed 4 out of their last 9 goals in the 46’–60′ minute interval.
As Atletico Nacional commences the next phase of the championship, they are determined to secure all three points at home to establish a firm foothold in the race for a place in the final. Their strong seasonal performance to date, along with a positive historical record against their opponents, positions them as favourites. Their attacking style, characterised by effective ball movement and pressurising play, is likely to create problems for their opponents. Home support will also play a key role in maintaining dominance throughout the match. Attention to finishing and efficiency will be vital to validate their strong form.
Team analysis: Once Caldas
The away team arrives at this stage of the Primera Division after finishing the previous classification phase (Apertura) in 7th place with 33 points. Traditionally, Once Caldas demonstrates enhanced performance when playing at their own ground. Over the last 30 matches, they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses away. In their most recent match, they faced a setback, losing 2-0 to Fluminense in the South American Bridgestone Cup. In the last 9 away matches of the championship, Once Caldas achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, gathering just 8 points out of a possible 27. During their away games, they often found themselves trailing at half-time, with 1-0 being the most common scoreline (4 out of 9 matches). The attack has been regular, managing to score in 8 of their last 10 competition games. However, in 19 matches across this competition, they have only managed to turn around the scoring after conceding first on 3 occasions. In their last 20 away matches across all competitions, they had significant moments, scoring 7 out of their 16 goals during the last segment of matches (76’–90′).
Once Caldas approaches this fixture with a clear understanding of the challenges ahead, opting for a cautious, strategic approach. The team’s focus will be on defensive organisation, aiming to neutralise Atletico Nacional’s offensive threats while seizing opportunities during counter-attacks. Despite lacking the edge in favouritism, Once Caldas has demonstrated competitiveness in previous phases and could spring a surprise if they remain focused throughout the match. Tactical consistency and emotional resilience will be crucial for securing a positive outcome in this encounter.
The best prediction for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional to win
