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Atlético-MG vs Corinthians Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Atlético-MG vs Corinthians

Here you find the finest prediction for Atlético-MG vs Corinthians in the Brasileirão Serie A, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from the last matches that will inform the best prediction for the encounter between Atlético-MG and Corinthians.

Atletico-MG logo
Atlético-MG

  • 24 May 2025 – 00::00
  • Brasileirão Serie A

  • 2025
  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 10
Corinthians logo
Corinthians


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atlético-MG and Corinthians

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Corinthians in the Brasileirão Serie A is under 2.5 goals. The home advantage appears to play a significant role here, with Atlético-MG currently enjoying an unbeaten run and demonstrating strong form at home. Conversely, Corinthians tend to adopt a more cautious strategy when playing away, which often results in a more measured match, characterised by tight marking and limited scoring opportunities. Based on these factors, a prediction of under 2.5 goals appears prudent for this encounter.

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Corinthians

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Atlético-MG vs Corinthians

Atlético-MG and Corinthians face off in this significant fixture of the Brasileirão Serie A’s 10th round. The recent head-to-head record favours Atlético-MG, who have secured 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 encounters. Their most recent clash resulted in a 2-1 victory for Atlético-MG on 28 July 2024. The home advantage is likely to be crucial in this match, given the evident differences in both teams’ performances at home and away.

Team analysis: Atlético-MG

Following 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, the home side currently occupies 9th place with 13 points. Their last match saw a stalemate against Cruzeiro (0-0), while prior to that, they triumphed over Fluminense (3-2) at home. Atlético-MG has shown stronger performances within their own stadium, with a record of 10 wins and 5 draws out of their last 30 games at home, compared to just 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses away. Recently, they achieved a resounding 4-0 victory over Maringá in the Brazilian Cup. In their last four league outings at home, they’ve recorded 2 wins and 2 draws, earning 8 points from 12 available.

They’ve been unbeaten in their last 4 encounters at home in this competition. However, they tend to start slowly, having opened the scoring in just 2 of their last 9 league matches, managing to win all those games. In their 9 games in this league, they conceded the first goal 5 times but managed to come back to win in just 1 instance.

Although the draw in the derby was not the result the fans desired, Atlético-MG remains determined to continue their scoring form in the Brasileirão. They have now gone five matches without defeat in the league, a consistency that has been pivotal for their advancement in the league standings. With aspirations to continue this trend, Atlético-MG is prepared to seek victory against Corinthians.

Team analysis: Corinthians

After registering 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, the visiting team is in 8th place with 13 points. In their most recent outing, they edged past Santos at home (1-0) following a previous away defeat to Mirassol (2-1). Corinthians’ performances tend to improve when they play at home, recording 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at their stadium, compared to 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses on the road and conceding 20 goals away while scoring 13. They arrive at this match following a 1-0 win against Novorizontino at home. In the league, they’ve managed just 1 point from 12 available due to their dismal record in the last 4 away matches, which included 1 draw and 3 losses.

They have failed to win any of their last 4 away games in this competition. Defensively, they have struggled recently, conceding goals in 7 of their last 9 league encounters. In the 9 matches played, they have only managed to recover the lead once after going behind.

Winning a derby always significantly boosts team morale, and Corinthians understand the significance of this. After their 1-0 victory against Santos at the Neo Chemistry Arena, they head into this fixture aware that they must maintain high levels of concentration, as a match against Atlético-MG on their turf presents a formidable challenge. This clash demands utmost focus, especially as they seek to end the unbeaten run of Atlético-MG.

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Corinthians

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

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