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Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés

Here you will find the best prediction for Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés by La Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés.

Athletic de Bilbao Logo
Athletic de Bilbao

  • 11 May 2025 – 16::30
  • La Liga

  • 2024/2025
  • NORMAL EXPENDANCE – ROUND 35
Alavés Logo
Alert


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés

The best prediction for this match between Athletic de Bilbao and Alavés in La Liga is a victory for Athletic de Bilbao. The team has the advantage of playing at home supported by their fans, and they currently find themselves in better form compared to their opponents. It is also notable that Deportivo Alavés has only managed to secure 3 wins out of 17 away matches. Therefore, it would not be surprising if the Basques confirm their status as favourites and clinch all three points.

The best prediction for Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés

Athletic de Bilbao wins or a draw nullifies bet

Match preview: Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés

Athletic de Bilbao and Alavés play at San Mamés Barria, in a match of the 35th round of La Liga. In their last encounter in this competition, on 15-12-2024, the match ended in a 1-1 draw. Historically, encounters at this stadium favour the home team, as they have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 meetings there. Indeed, in their last matchup at this venue for La Liga, on 16-03-2024, Athletic de Bilbao secured a 2-0 victory, with goals from Gorka Guruzeta (32′ and 37′). Special attention must be given to home/away performance, as Athletic de Bilbao exhibits different outcomes at their home ground compared to away matches.

Team analysis: Athletic de Bilbao

After achieving 16 wins, 13 draws, and 5 losses, the home team is positioned 4th with a tally of 61 points. In their previous match, they drew 0-0 against Real Sociedad, following a home win against Las Palmas (1-0). They perform significantly better at home, with a record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, as opposed to only 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses away. The team enters this match following a disappointing defeat to Manchester United (4-1) in the Europa League.

In this competition, they have not lost at home for 14 matches. Frequent halftime scores in their home games include 1-0 (6 in 17 matches) and 0-0 (6 in 17 matches). Additionally, 11 of the last 17 home games for this competition saw fewer than 3 goals. Over 34 games in this league, they only turned a deficit into a positive outcome in 3 of the 13 matches where they conceded first. In their last 17 home games, 4 out of their 10 goals conceded occurred between the 76th and 90th minutes.

The Athletic de Bilbao squad arrives at this match demoralised from the recent 4-1 defeat. In their latest round in La Liga, the Basques managed a 0-0 draw against Real Sociedad. Ernesto Valverde’s side maintains their traditional 4-3-3 tactical setup, characterised by high intensity and rapid offensive transitions. In attack, Iñaki Williams, Nico Williams, and Gorka Guruzeta form a potent trio capable of causing disruptions through both positional play and counterattacks. Alex Berenguer and Andoni Gorosabel remain suspended for this match.

Team analysis: Alavés

The visiting team currently sits in 17th place with 35 points, acquired through 8 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses. In their penultimate match, they won 1-0 against Real Sociedad at home. However, in their latest fixture, they drew 0-0 against Atletico Madrid at home. The team’s performance is relatively unaffected by the venue, as they have similar results at home and away—recording 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, netting a total of 18 goals while conceding 22. Conversely, at home, they have obtained 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 16. Their most recent away match in this competition resulted in a 1-1 draw against Sevilla. In their last 10 away matches, Alavés has garnered 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, collecting 12 points out of a potential 30. Of note, they have only managed to turn around one match after conceding the first goal across 34 matches in this competition.

Deportivo Alavés comes into this match following a goalless draw with Atletico Madrid. The visiting side typically utilises a classic 4-3-3 formation, relying on quick transitions to catch opponents off guard. Kike García, Carles Aleñá, and Carlos Vicente usually lead the attack, creating potential problems for opposing defences. In midfield, Jon Guridi plays a pivotal role in dictating the pace of the match and orchestrating offensive movements. All players are fit for selection ahead of this match.

The best prediction for Athletic de Bilbao vs Alavés

Athletic de Bilbao wins or a draw nullifies bet

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