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Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Here you will find the best prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla in La Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read on for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for the clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla.

Athletic de Bilbao Logo
Athletic de Bilbao

  • 17 August 2025 – 17::30
  • LA Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Normal Time – Round 1
Sevilla Logo
Sevilla


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

The best prediction for this match between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla in La Liga is a victory for Athletic Bilbao. Leveraging the fervent support of their fans, the home side also boasts a stronger squad. It’s important to note that Athletic has triumphed in three of their last four encounters against Sevilla. Therefore, it is anticipated that Ernesto Valverde’s team will approach this match optimally and secure the three points.

The best prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic de Bilbao to win

Match preview: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla are set to face off at San Mamés Barria in the first round of La Liga. Historically, encounters at this venue have been closely contested, evidenced by one draw and two wins apiece for both sides across the last five meetings. The latest confrontation here occurred on 29 September 2024, culminating in a 1-1 stalemate, with Mikel Jauregizar netting for Athletic and Alex Padilla scoring an own goal for Sevilla. The home advantage could significantly influence the outcome, as Athletic Bilbao has distinct variances in results when playing home versus away.

Team analysis: Athletic Bilbao

The home side commences this season following a commendable 4th place finish last year. Athletic is particularly formidable on home turf, as reflected in their last 30 away fixtures, where they secured just 3 wins, 3 draws, and suffered 9 losses, scoring 11 goals and conceding 22. Conversely, at home, they achieved 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a tally of 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. Their last outing was a friendly against Arsenal, resulting in a 3-0 defeat. In their last ten home matches, Athletic Bilbao recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Notably, they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a need for defensive improvement, yet their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 7 of those matches. In 15 instances, they conceded the first goal 4 times without reversing the scoreline.

Athletic Bilbao arrives at this match following a 3-0 loss in a friendly against Arsenal. The hosts are likely to adopt their usual 4-3-3 formation, prioritising quick football, swift transitions, and an aggressive offensive approach. Iñaki Williams, Nico Williams, and Álex Berenguer are expected to take the lead in attack, exploiting gaps in the opposition’s defence. Their offensive movements often originate from the left, taking advantage of Yuri Berchiche’s runs. All players are fit and available for selection in this match.

Team analysis: Sevilla

The visitors begin this season following a disappointing 16th place finish last year. Sevilla is generally less influenced by the home advantage, demonstrating similar outcomes whether at home or away. In their last 30 matches, they recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as guests, netting 19 goals while conceding 23. On their own ground, they managed 3 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 19. They come into this match from a 1-1 draw against Toulouse away. Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Sevilla managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. The defence has been leaky, allowing goals in 8 of the last 10 games, signalling a need for improvement, although their attack, capable of finding the net in 9 of those games, shows promise. In 15 matches, they were unable to recover from conceding first in 8.

Sevilla comes into this fixture off the back of a 1-1 draw, with their lone goal against Toulouse scored by Dodi Lukébakio. The visiting side typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, favouring rapid transitions and wing play. In this setup, the front three—Dodi Lukébakio, Isaac Romero, and Akor Adams—create significant pressure on opposing defences. Midfielder Djibril Sow orchestrates their offensive pushes. The squad will be without several players due to injury, including Joan Jordan, Rubén Vargas, Chidera Ejuke, Tanguy Nianzou, Loïc Badé, Stanis Idumbo, and Ramón Martínez.

The best prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic de Bilbao to win

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