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Atalanta vs Parma Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Atalanta vs Parma

Here you will find the best prediction for Atalanta vs Parma in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from recent matches to offer the best prediction for this match between Atalanta and Parma.

Atalanta logo
Atalanta

  • January 25, 2026 – 14::00
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 22
Parma logo
Parma


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atalanta vs Parma

The best prediction for Atalanta vs Parma in the Serie A is a win for Atalanta. The home team will have the strong support of their fans, while their opponent is likely to be demotivated after winning only one of their last five official matches. Additionally, it is important to note that Atalanta has won four of their last five encounters played in their stadium. Therefore, it is expected that the home team will assert their favoritism on the field and ultimately secure the three points.

Best prediction for Atalanta vs Parma

Asian Handicap, Atalanta -1

Match prediction for Atalanta vs Parma

The teams Atalanta and Parma are set to play at the Gewiss Stadium in a match from the 22nd round of Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition on August 30, 2025, the final result was a draw (1-1). The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, with the last four matches showing 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss for Parma. Home advantage may play a decisive role in this match, as Parma has shown varying performances when playing at home compared to away games.

Atalanta Analysis

After 8 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, the home team occupies the 7th position with a total of 32 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 against Pisa away, following a 2-0 victory at home against Torino in the previous game. Atalanta is relatively unaffected by the home advantage, as they have shown similar results both at home and away. In their last 30 matches, they recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses away from home, scoring 23 goals and conceding 17, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home, scoring 23 goals and conceding 13. The team comes into this fixture after a home defeat to Athletic Bilbao (2-3). In the league, Atalanta has gained 18 points out of a possible 30 after 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 home matches. In their home matches in this league, the most frequent result at halftime was 1-0, occurring in 5 of their 11 matches. The attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 out of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches for this competition, there is a tendency for fewer goals, as in 8 of the last 11, there have been fewer than 3 goals. Out of 21 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and were unable to turn the score around.

Atalanta enters this match following a defeat against Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League and a recent draw against Pisa in Serie A. The team, managed by Guy Luzon, typically plays a 3-4-3 tactical system, favoring well-organized, slower transitions mainly through the flanks. In this scheme, the three players tasked with creating havoc in the opponent’s defense are Gianluca Scamacca, Charles De Ketelaere, and Ademola Lookman. The team often utilizes the right flank, benefiting from the depth provided by full-back Davide Zappacosta. Raoul Bellanova and Mitchel Bakker are sidelined due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Marco Carnesecchi, Giorgio Scalvini, Honest Ahanor, Isak Hien, Mario Pašalić, Nicola Zalewski, Yunus Musah, Marten de Roon, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca.
Coach: G. Gasperini.

Parma Analysis

After 5 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 12th place with 23 points. In their last match, they drew 0-0 with Genoa at home, after another goalless draw against Napoli away. Interestingly, this team has shown better results as visitors than at home, recording 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, scoring a total of 14 goals and conceding 17. At home, they have secured 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a total of 11 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Parma recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, earning 13 points out of a possible 30.

For this competition, they haven’t lost as visitors in their last 5 matches. In their league matches away from home, the most common halftime result has been 0-0 (5 out of 10 matches). This is a team that rarely opens the scoring first: they have only taken the lead in 5 of their last 21 Serie A TIM matches, and of those, they led at halftime in 2 and managed to win 4 after 90 minutes. In 21 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and have only managed to come back once.

Parma enters this match after drawing 0-0 against Genoa, making it their third consecutive match without a loss in Serie A. The team, guided by Carlos Cuesta, usually sets up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Mateo Pellegrino, Gaetano Oristanio, and Jacob Ondrejka forming the attacking trio. In midfield, Adrián Bernabé plays as the maestro, dictating the rhythm of the game and organizing offensive transitions. Injured players include Pontus Almqvist, Matija Frigan, and Zion Suzuki.

Confirmed lineup: Edoardo Corvi, Lautaro Valenti, Emanuele Valeri, Alessandro Circati, Enrico Delprato, Adrián Bernabé, Mandela Keita, Nahuel Estévez, Gaetano Oristanio, Mateo Pellegrino, Jacob Ondrejka.
Coach: G. Iachini.

Best prediction for Atalanta vs Parma

Asian Handicap, Atalanta -1

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