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Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Atalanta vs Lecce

Here you will find the finest prediction for Atalanta vs Lecce in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting advice.

Read our in-depth analysis of both teams below, covering their recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Atalanta and Lecce.

Atalanta Logo
Atalant

  • 25 April 2025 – 18::45
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2024/2025

  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 34

Lecce soon
Lecce


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atalanta vs Lecce

The best prediction for Atalanta vs Lecce in the Serie A is an Atalanta victory with more than 1.5 goals. Competing at home and exhibiting their usual territorial dominance, it is anticipated that Gian Piero Gasperini’s team will control the match from the outset. The technical and tactical superiority of Atalanta should prove decisive against Lecce, who, despite their defensive organisation, will likely struggle to withstand the attacking pressure exerted by Atalanta.

The best prediction for Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta wins and more than 1.5 goals

Match preview: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta and Lecce face off at the Gewiss Stadium in this match for the 34th round of Serie A TIM. The last encounter between these teams saw Atalanta triumph away with a score of (0‑4) in this season of the league on 19‑2024. The recent head-to-head record is in favour of the home side, who have secured three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five matchups. It’s crucial to note the home/away context; while this match features the 3rd and 17th overall teams, it is essentially a contest between the 8th best-performing home team and the 16th strongest away side.

Team analysis: Atalanta

With a record of 19 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, Atalanta currently occupies 3rd place, having earned 64 points. In their last outing, they secured a narrow victory against AC Milan (0‑1), following a previous home win against Bologna (2‑0). Typically, Atalanta performs better away, amassing 36 points from their travels, scoring 35 goals and conceding 11, versus 28 points at home, with 31 goals scored and 19 conceded. In their last ten home league matches, Atalanta have achieved three wins, four draws, and three defeats, gaining 13 points from a possible 30. Notably, six of their 16 home games this season ended with a 0‑0 scoreline at halftime. Their defence has been solid, conceding goals in just three of their last ten league matches. Out of 33 games in this competition, they managed to recover from a losing position in four out of 11 matches where they conceded the first goal. A significant point from their last 16 home matches is that seven of their 19 goals conceded happened between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Atalanta enters this match coming off a victory against AC Milan, with the sole goal scored by Éderson. The team from Bergamo is expected to maintain their customary 3-4-3 tactical formation, striving for a balance between defensive sturdiness and offensive versatility. Charles de Ketelaere, Mario Pasalic, and Mateo Retegui are anticipated to lead the attack, tasked with converting offensive plays into goals. In midfield, the match will largely revolve around Marten de Roon, the team’s orchestrator who intelligently dictates the pace and distribution. The team will be without Sead Kolasinac, Marco Loffo, Gianluca Scamacca, and Giorgio Scalvini due to injuries.

Team analysis: Lecce

After recording 6 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, Lecce finds themselves in 17th place with a total of 26 points. Their last match ended in a home defeat (0‑3), following a previous away loss to Juventus (2‑1). Lecce has shown little dependence on home advantage, as their results have been fairly consistent both at home and on the road. In their last ten matches in the league, Lecce has garnered three wins, one draw, and six losses, achieving ten points from a potential 30. The most common halftime result in their away games has been 0‑0 (recorded in 7 of 16 matches). The team has conceded goals in eight of their last ten league fixtures, indicating a lack of defensive resilience. Trends highlight a tendency towards low-scoring games, with seven of their last 16 fixtures yielding fewer than 1.5 goals. Lecce has struggled to take the lead early, having scored first in only 8 out of their 33 Serie A matches, of which they held the lead at halftime in six and ultimately won five.

Lecce comes into this match on a difficult run, with ten consecutive matches without a win in Serie A. They suffered a recent defeat, losing 0-3 at home in the last round. With a pressing need to accumulate points, Lecce are likely to adopt a cautious 4-3-3 formation, aiming to strengthen their midfield and limit the opponent’s offensive manoeuvres. Up front, Tete Room, Santiago Pierotti, and Ante Rebić will carry the responsibility of exploiting any openings in the opposing defence. In this match, coach Marco Giampaolo will miss the services of Nikola Krstović and Fenon Berisha, both suspended, as well as Joan González, Filip Marchwinski, and Gaby Jean due to injuries.

The best prediction for Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta wins and more than 1.5 goals

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