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Arouca vs Famalicão Prediction – Primeira Liga

Check out the best predictions for Arouca vs Famalicão

Here you find the best prediction for Arouca vs Famalicão in the first league, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent form and the main statistics of their last games to offer the best prediction for this match between Arouca vs Famalicão.

Arouca logo
Arouca

  • 05 April 2025 – 17::00
  • First league

  • 2024/2025
  • Normal Time – Round 28
Famalicão Logo
Famalicão


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Arouca vs Famalicão

The best prediction for Arouca vs Famalicão in the first league is that both teams will score. This match, despite featuring two teams that are not among the strongest in the Portugal League, promises to be an exciting encounter. Arouca plays with a strong mentality and is particularly tough to beat at home, while Famalicão presents a well-organised side that can seize opportunities to score. Hence, the market for both teams to score is appealing, as Arouca is likely to adopt an offensive approach, creating chances for Famalicão to exploit the spaces that may be left open.

Match preview: Arouca vs Famalicão

Arouca and Famalicão play at the Arouca Municipal Stadium, in a match of the 28th Round of the First League. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 09‑11‑2024, the outcome was a draw (0‑0). The history of direct confrontations played at this stadium favours the home side, which has won all of the last 3 matches. In fact, in the last outing at this ground for the first league on 23‑02‑2024, Arouca secured a 3‑2 victory. Goals were scored by Cristo González (45′), Rafa Mújica (64′) and Morlaye Sylla (33′) for Arouca, while Famalicão’s goals came from Jhonder Cádiz (12′) and Gustavo Sá (56′). The home/away conditions are worth noting, as this match features the 13th placed team facing the 9th, but distinctly, Arouca ranks 15th in home contexts compared to Famalicão’s 6th for away matches.

Team analysis: Arouca

The home team currently sits in 13th place, with 29 points from 7 victories, 8 draws and 12 defeats. In their penultimate match, they drew at home against Estoril (1‑1). In the latest fixture, Arouca lost away to Sporting Braga (2‑1). Interestingly, Arouca has performed better away than at home, having secured 15 points as visitors and just 14 points at their ground. In the last 10 home games in the league, Arouca has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, amassing 11 points from a possible 30. Their home matches often see the score at halftime being 0‑1 (6 instances in 13 games). While defensively they have struggled, conceding in 8 of their last 10, their attack has been more consistent, scoring in 9 of the previous 10 matches. However, most of their home games have ended with under 2.5 goals, with 10 of their last 13 fixtures following this trend. Furthermore, in 27 league games, Arouca conceded the first goal 12 times without ever coming back to win. A significant observation from their 13 home games is that they have conceded 6 of their 16 total goals within the last 15 minutes (76’–90′).

The Arouca side has not tasted victory in their last two games. The defeat at Sporting Braga was close, losing by a single goal (2-1). However, they expected more from their last home match against Estoril, where they could only manage a 1-1 draw. This marks their fourth consecutive match without a victory, following previous draws with Rio Ave (1-1) and Farense (2-2), plus a loss to FC Porto (0-2). Therefore, while Arouca continues to show a positive approach by scoring in most matches, they also remain vulnerable defensively, having conceded in 80% of their last 5 home contests.

Team analysis: Famalicão

Following 9 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team occupies 9th place with a total of 34 points. In their last match, they triumphed over AVS at home with a score of 4‑1, after previously losing to Sporting CP away (3‑1). Famalicão is relatively unaffected by home advantage, securing almost identical points at home and away, having scored 14 goals and conceded 10 at home, against 19 goals scored and 20 conceded when playing away. In the league, they have accumulated 12 points from a possible 30 in their last 10 away fixtures, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Their attacking line has found the net regularly, achieving scores in 7 of their last 10 matches in the league. Away games have typically seen goals, with 12 of their last 13 matches ending with more than 1.5 goals. Furthermore, in 27 matches overall, they have conceded the first goal 10 times, managing to come back only once.

The Famalicão side enters this clash following a strong victory against AVS (4-1). Despite a prior setback against Sporting (3-1), their recent form has been relatively positive, winning 3 and losing 2 of their last 5 matches. This team has proven to be competitive even on the road. They’ve recorded 3 losses in their latest 5 away trips, but two were against tough opponents, specifically Benfica (4-0) and Sporting (3-1). They also held Rio Ave, Casa Pia (1-1), and Sporting Braga (2-2) to draws, alongside impressive wins over Boavista and Gil Vicente, both with a margin of 0-2, and an additional victory at AVS (2-3). Based on their consistency and performance, Famalicão will look to at least find the back of the net on their visit to Arouca.

The best prediction for Arouca vs Famalicão

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or treble bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

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