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Arouca vs Estrela Amadora Prediction – Primeira Liga
Check out the best predictions for Arouca vs Estrela Amadora
Here you’ll find the best prediction for AROUCA vs ESTRELA AMADORA for the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Arouca and Estrela Amadora.
 Arouca |
|  Estrela Amadora |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Arouca and Estrela Amadora
The best prediction for Arouca vs Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga is Arouca wins or a double chance and more than 1.5 goals. Arouca has proven difficult to defeat at home against teams of a similar standard or slightly stronger. In their last 10 matches, they have suffered 4 losses, with Benfica, FC Porto, and Sporting Braga being prominent among those defeats. Meanwhile, Estrela Amadora has been competitive in their travels recently, particularly in their last 7 away games, where they have only lost twice — once to Casa Pia (1-0) and once to Vitória SC (2-0). Additionally, Estrela scored in 4 of these last 7 matches on the road. Therefore, a bet on Arouca to win or a double chance combined with over 1.5 goals could be a prudent choice.
The best prediction for Arouca vs Estrela Amadora
Arouca wins or a double chance and more than 1.5 goals
Match preview: Arouca vs Estrela Amadora
Arouca will face Estrela Amadora at the Arouca Municipal Stadium, in a match for the 30th round of the Primeira Liga. The last time these teams met in this league edition, Estrela managed to win at home by a score of (2-1) on 09 December 2024. The historical record of encounters between these teams over the last 3 years has seen 1 draw and 1 victory for each side from their last 3 meetings. It’s worth noting the different performances at home and away, as both teams have vastly divergent results in matches played at home compared to those played away.
Team analysis: Arouca
The home side currently sits in 12th place with 29 points, having secured 7 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Famalicão (1-2). However, in their most recent encounter, they managed to secure a draw away at Benfica (2-2). Interestingly, Arouca has recorded more positive results away than at home; over the last 30 matches, they have achieved 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 22 goals and conceding 24. In contrast, their home form shows only 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded. Within the championship, Arouca has not performed well at home, earning just 10 points from a possible 30, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 home matches. It’s also notable that the team has allowed goals in 9 of their last 10 games, reflecting a lack of defensive solidity, although their attacking options have been more consistent, with goals registered in 9 of these matches. Additionally, home games tend to yield fewer goals, as 10 of their last 14 encounters in the league have concluded with under 2.5 goals. In the competition overall, Arouca has faced the first goal in 14 of 29 games and failed to turn a deficit around in any of those. In their last 14 home fixtures, they have scored 4 of their 11 goals within the minutes of (61’–75′) and conceded 7 of their 18 goals during the closing stages (76’–90′).
Arouca has responded positively to a tricky spell of 3 games without a win, during which they suffered two consecutive defeats. A vital draw at the Estádio da Luz against Benfica allowed them to gain an important point, bringing their total to 30 points and providing a 7-point buffer over AVS, the first team in the relegation zone. Hosting Estrela Amadora in this 30th round offers Arouca a meaningful opportunity to enhance their chances of avoiding relegation and potentially climb above their current 12th position.
Team analysis: Estrela Amadora
The visiting team currently stands in 15th place with 26 points, after 6 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses. In their last match, they lost to Farense at home (0-1), following a prior victory away against Nacional (0-1). Estrela Amadora’s performance tends to dip when playing away, as they have recorded just 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, scoring only 6 goals while conceding a staggering 26. Conversely, at home, they have fared slightly better with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, netting 16 goals and conceding 23. In the championship, Estrela has accumulated only 9 points from 30 available, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 away games. They have also allowed goals from their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, illustrating their defensive struggles. Furthermore, there seems to be a trend of low-scoring matches for Estrela when playing away, as evidenced by the fact that 12 of their last 14 away fixtures have yielded less than 3 goals. In their 29 league games, they’ve only managed to turn a deficit around once in the 19 occasions on which they conceded the first goal.
Estrela Amadora remains on edge and is unlikely to ease relegation fears until the end of the season. They have experienced numerous ups and downs but are consistently marred by a close proximity to relegation spots, often finding themselves entrenched within them. Despite two consecutive defeats, the team won against Nacional (0-1) at the National Stadium, but faltered again by losing to Farense (0-1) in their following match. This inconsistent form makes the trip to Arouca’s stadium a challenging prospect for the team under J. Faria, who possesses a squad capable of achieving superior results.
The best prediction for Arouca vs Estrela Amadora
Arouca wins or a double chance and more than 1.5 goals
