Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction – Primeira Liga

Check out the best guesses for Arouca vs Casa Pia Here you find the best guess of Arouca vs Casa Pia For the first league, in addition to the match analysis and betting tips. Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent record and the main statistics of the last games to offer the best guess for this match between Arouca vs Casa Pia. Arouca 04 May 2025 – 17::00 First league 2024/2025 NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 32 House Pia Guess for bet: The Arouca team has been known for their engaging style of football, straightforward yet very well executed. Playing at home, and comfortably placed in the league table, they will be eager to return to winning ways. Conversely, they will face a team that poses a threat on the counterattack and often finds the net, even when playing away. Therefore, this match is well poised for at least 2 goals, with Arouca having the better chance of securing the win.

Best guesses for this match Arouca wins or a double chance and more than 1.5 goals Departure forecast Arouca and Casa Pia play at Arouca Municipal Stadium, in a match for the 32nd round of the First League. Casa Pia won the previous encounter at home with a score of (3‑1) when they last faced each other in this league edition on 20‑12‑2024. The history of head-to-head matches at this venue favours the home side, having won 2 of the last 3 encounters while losing 1. However, in their most recent match at this stadium in the First League on 17‑09‑2023, Casa Pia emerged victorious with a scoreline of (0‑1), with Felippe Cardoso (90 ′) netting the solitary goal.

Special attention to the home/away performance is warranted, as both teams exhibit markedly different results depending on the venue.

Team analysis: Arouca
After 8 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, the home side finds themselves in 12th position with a total of 33 points. In their last outing, they suffered a defeat to Santa Clara (2‑0), following a home victory against an amateur side (1‑0) in the previous match. Interestingly, this team has performed better on the road than at home, recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away games; compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at their own ground. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Arouca has achieved 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, acquiring 13 points from a possible 30. The most common halftime score in their home games has been 0‑1 (7 times in 15 matches). Defensive strength has not been a hallmark for them, conceding goals in 8 of their last 10 games, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 league matches. At home, there has been a trend of low-scoring games, with less than 3 goals in 11 of the last 15. Out of 31 matches in the league, they have conceded the first goal 14 times without managing to turn the result around. Notably, in their last 15 home matches, they scored 5 of their 12 goals between the minutes (61’–75 ′) and conceded 7 of their 18 goals between (76’–90 ′). The Arouca team has already secured their league status, which was their primary objective. Naturally, expectations were high following their performances last season. However, numerous changes to the squad and management have disrupted their rhythm and delayed the establishment of a cohesive playing style. Under Vasco Seabra’s guidance, Arouca enjoyed a resurgence, but they are currently in a challenging phase, having encountered formidable opponents such as Sporting Braga and Benfica, as well as playing at Santa Clara’s ground. They now face a more modest opponent in Casa Pia, who themselves are not in peak form. This could be Arouca’s chance to clinch another victory.

Team analysis: Casa Pia
The visitors currently sit in 8th place with 41 points from 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Porto (0‑1), and in their latest fixture, they drew away to AVS (1‑1). They are significantly stronger at home; in their last 30 games, they have achieved 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, while at home they boast 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Casa Pia has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, earning 11 points from a possible 30. The most frequent halftime score in their league matches has been 0‑0, occurring in 6 of their 15 games. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but they have also managed to score regularly, netting in 7 of their last 10 league matches. Out of 30 games in the league, they have only managed to overturn the score in 3 instances when conceding first. Casa Pia has not been performing at their usual standard, which is understandable given the difficulty of maintaining such a level. They are currently on a streak of 4 matches without a win, having recently lost at home to Estoril. Consequently, Casa Pia is keen to regain their form, although they face a challenging trip to the Arouca stadium. Additionally, under João Pereira’s management, they have not won in 6 consecutive away matches. This will be a significant test, however, Casa Pia’s primary objective in recent rounds has been to ensure their top-flight status.

The best prediction for Arouca vs Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga is Arouca to win or a double chance and more than 1.5 goals. This prediction reflects Arouca’s improved form at home coupled with Casa Pia’s struggles on the road. It is anticipated that Arouca will seize this opportunity to secure a much-needed victory.