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Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Alverca vs Moreirense

Here you will find the best prediction for Alverca vs Moreirense in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent track record and key statistics from recent matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Alverca and Moreirense.

Alverca logo
Alverca

  • January 17, 2026 – 18::00
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Moreirense logo
Moreirense


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Alverca vs Moreirense

The best prediction for
Palpite Alverca vs Moreirense in the Primeira Liga is under 2.5 goals. This match does not hold any secrets, as both teams are aware that Alverca is in urgent need of a victory. Therefore, Moreirense is expected to adopt a more defensive stance and aim to capitalize on mistakes from their opponents. Consequently, this could lead to a game of patience on both sides, making it unlikely for many goals to be scored. The two recent home victories for Alverca serve as an example, as both were slim 1-0 wins.

Best prediction for Alverca vs Moreirense

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

Match prediction for Alverca vs Moreirense

The teams Alverca and Moreirense play at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca in a match for the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. Moreirense won at home 2-1 the last time these teams faced each other in this league edition on August 10, 2025. It is crucial to pay special attention to home/away conditions, as both teams exhibit significantly different results in home and away games.

Analysis of Alverca

After 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, the home team is in 11th position with 20 points. In their last match, they won against Famalicão at home with a score of 1-0, after previously losing away to Estoril with a score of 4-1. They are a stronger team at home, as over the last 30 games, they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home. In the league, Alverca has achieved 13 points out of 27 possible, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 9 home games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. In 17 games in this contest, they conceded the first goal 11 times and only managed to overturn the score once. A notable period in their last 18 home matches across all competitions is that they scored 10 of their 27 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Coach Custódio breathed a sigh of relief in the last match when he saw his team defeat Famalicão 1-0. This victory ended a disappointing streak of three consecutive defeats. With these 3 points, the Ribatejo team took the opportunity to climb a few spots and is now in 11th position, level on points with Rio Ave and Estoril. As important as the victory was, continuing this momentum will be crucial. The challenge is not easy, as they face Moreirense, but anything less than a win could leave a mark on Custódio’s side.

Confirmed lineup: André Nogueira Gomes, Bastien Meupiyou, Kaiky Marques Naves, Sergi Gómez Solà, Francisco Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues, Nabil Touaizi, Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho, Sabit Abdulai, Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos, Sandro Lima, Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi.
Coach: J. Alves Salazar.

Analysis of Moreirense

After 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 6th position with 27 points. In their last match, they won against Tondela at home with a score of 1-0, following a previous away victory against AVS with a score of 2-0. Moreirense is significantly influenced by the home advantage, as they perform better with the support of their fans, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding 21. At home, they gained 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a total of 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 9 league matches away, Moreirense recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, achieving 11 points out of 27 possible. Their attack has been scoring regularly, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 league matches. In 17 games in this competition, they managed to overturn the score in just 1 of the 6 matches where they conceded first.

Moreirense has taken advantage of facing teams from the lower end of the table to start racking up victories. They first defeated AFS away, then hosted Tondela, winning 1-0. Before these two victories, the team had drawn against Estrela in Amadora. This indicates that Moreirense is showing signs of regaining the momentum they had at the start of the season, but this match against Alverca is expected to be challenging given the pressure on the Ribatejo team to secure a win.

Confirmed lineup: Caio Gobbo Secco, Travassos, Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos, Álvaro Martínez Navarro, Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga, Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida, Rodrigo Alonso Martín, Alan de Souza Vitória de Guimarães, Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso, Luís Semedo, Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi.
Coach: C. Bacci.

Best prediction for Alverca vs Moreirense

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

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