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Alianza Atlético vs Melgar Prediction – Primera Division

Check out the best predictions for Alianza Atlético vs Melgar

Here you will find the best prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Melgar, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Below, you will find our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their last matches, to provide the best prediction for the Alianza Atlético vs Melgar encounter.

Alianza Atlético Logo
Alianza Atlético

  • 01 August 2025 – 20::15
  • Primera Division

  • 2025

  • Clausura – Round 3

Melgar


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Alianza Atlético vs Melgar

The best prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Melgar in the Primera Division is that both teams will score. This encounter is expected to be well-balanced, but Melgar may have the edge due to their consistency in away matches. Melgar will likely aim to control the match and set the pace early, while Alianza Atlético must adapt to avoid being overrun. Given Melgar’s offensive efficiency and Alianza’s tendency to exploit spaces even under pressure, wagering on both teams to find the back of the net presents a compelling option.

Match preview: Alianza Atlético vs Melgar

Alianza Atlético and Melgar face off at Municipal Stadium Melanio Coloma Calderón in the 3rd round of the Primera Division. Historically, this venue has been advantageous for the home side, who have secured 1 win and 2 draws in their last 3 matches here. The most recent encounter at this ground took place on 25 July 2024, with Alianza Atlético triumphing 3-1. The goals in that match were scored by Nestor Adrián Fernández Palacios (14′), Jesús Alexander Mendieta Rojas (77′), and Renato Espinoza Torres (90′) for Alianza Atlético, while Leonel Ezequiel Galeano (49′) netted for Melgar. The home advantage may influence the outcome, as Alianza Atlético has demonstrated noticeable discrepancies in their home and away performances.

Team analysis: Alianza Atlético

The home team is currently positioned 12th, having secured just 1 point. In their opening match, they drew 0-0 at home against Sport Huancayo, followed by a 1-1 draw away to Alianza Lima. Alianza Atlético tends to perform better at home—recording 8 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in their last 10 home league fixtures, amassing 25 points from a possible 30. In contrast, they have been less successful away, with only 5 wins and 6 losses over their last 30 matches.

They have not lost in their last 7 home games. The most common half-time result in their home league games has been 0-0 (4 occurrences in 10 matches). Alianza Atlético’s attack has been consistently effective, scoring in 8 of their last 10 matches. In 20 games in this competition, they have turned around the score only twice in the 8 occasions where they conceded first.

Alianza Atlético faces significant pressure this round, knowing they must elevate their performance level to improve their standing in the league. A balanced display across all areas will be crucial to overcoming Melgar, who often present challenges to their opponents, even when playing away.

Team analysis: Melgar

The visiting team is currently in 6th position, having acquired 3 points thus far. They managed a victory against UTC Cajamarca away (1-2) in the first round but faced a 0-2 defeat at home against Cusco FC in their last match. Melgar’s results show they are slightly less impacted by home advantage, as their away record in the last 30 games includes 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses.

Defensively, they have not excelled, conceding at least one goal in each of the last 10 games, yet their attack has been regularly scoring, netting in 8 of their last 10 league matches. The trend of their away games often sees over 1.5 goals scored, with 9 of the last 10 matches ending that way. In this competition, they have managed to overturn the score in 4 of the 8 occasions when they conceded first. Notably, 6 of their 15 goals have been scored in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Melgar arrives with a slight advantage for this match, even away from home. Their impressive statistics as visitors have set a strong foundation for a successful campaign. With momentum on their side, it’s vital that they assert themselves from the outset against Alianza Atlético, who are not in their best form.

The best prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Melgar

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (guess for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky guess)

Do both teams score? Yes

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