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Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

Here you will find the best prediction for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano in La Liga, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent results and key statistics from their previous games to provide the best prediction for this match between Alavés and Rayo Vallecano.

Alavés Logo
Alert

  • 29 March 2025 – 17::30
  • LA Liga

  • 2024/2025

  • Normal Time – Round 29

Rayo Vallecano Logo
Rayo Vallecano


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

The best prediction for the match between Alavés and Rayo Vallecano in La Liga is that there will be more than 1.5 goals. Although Rayo Vallecano may have a slight edge playing away, Deportivo Alavés has proven to be a formidable opponent at home. Considering these factors, backing the market for “more than 1.5 goals” is a sensible choice.

The best prediction for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)

Match preview: Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

Alavés and Rayo Vallecano will clash at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in a match for the 29th round of La Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on 26–2024, Rayo Vallecano won 1-0 at home. The recent head-to-head history favours the away side, which has recorded 3 victories and 2 defeats in the last 5 meetings. The home advantage may be significant in this match, as both teams have shown stark contrasts in their home and away performances.

Team analysis: Alavés

After securing 6 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, Alavés currently sits in 17th place with 27 points. In their last outing, they drew 2-2 against Las Palmas, following a previous victory at home against Villarreal (1-0). This team is significantly influenced by playing at home, managing 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses as guests, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. Conversely, at home, they’ve achieved 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 14 goals and conceding 15. In the competition, Alavés has obtained 9 points from 30 available, having registered 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches at home. In their home games, the most common score at half-time has been 0-0, occurring in 5 of their 13 matches. They have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 fixtures in this league, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, their home matches tend to produce fewer goals, as seen in 10 of their last 13 games finishing with under 3 goals.

Deportivo Alavés approaches this match following a draw against Las Palmas, with goals from Toni Martínez and Jon Guridi. The team typically sets up in a tactical 4-4-2 formation, relying on quick transitions, particularly down the flanks. It is expected that the attacking duo will feature Carlos Martín and Toni Martínez. They tend to initiate attacks down the right side to utilise the depth provided by defender Nahuel Tenaglia. Missing from this match will be Antonio Silvera and Tomás Conechny, both dealing with injuries.

Team analysis: Rayo Vallecano

The visiting side is currently in 9th place with 37 points, having achieved 9 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost 2-1 to Real Madrid, followed by a 2-2 draw at home against Real Sociedad. Interestingly, this team boasts a better away record than at home, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, scoring 20 goals and conceding 15. At home, their record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with 20 goals scored and conceded. In this season, Rayo Vallecano has gained 12 points from 30 on the road, recording 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches. The most frequent scoreline at half-time has also been 0-0, occurring in 6 of their 14 games. Their defence has leaked goals in 8 of their last 10 fixtures, which indicates their lack of solidity at the back, yet their attack has been prolific, managing to score in 8 of those 10 matches. Their away fixtures tend to yield fewer goals, as 10 of their last 14 league games concluded with under 2.5 goals.

Rayo Vallecano enters this fixture after playing out a 2-2 draw with Real Sociedad, scoring through Oscar Trejo and Pedro Díaz. The visitors usually adopt a 4-3-3 formation that encourages an offensive style, heavily utilising the flanks. Under this system, Álvaro García, Oscar Trejo, and Sergi Guardiola play vital roles in threatening the opposing defence. Their attacking strategy tends to favour the right side, which allows them to exploit the width offered by wing-back Andrei Rațiu. Missing from this match will be Florian Lejeune due to suspension, as well as Isi Palazón and Randy Nteka, both with injuries.

Best predictions for this match

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)

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