Lotte vs Freiburg Prediction – German Cup
Check out the best predictions for SF Lotte vs Freiburg
Here you find the best prediction for SF Lotte vs Freiburg for the German Cup, alongside a match analysis and betting tips.
Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including their recent records and key statistics from previous matches to offer the best prediction for this match between SF Lotte vs Freiburg.
 SF Lotte |
|  Freiburg |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between SF Lotte vs Freiburg
The best prediction for the match between SF Lotte and Freiburg in the DFB Pokal is less than 4.5 goals. Freiburg enters as the favourite, showcasing clear technical and tactical superiority, whilst Lotte struggles defensively, despite the home advantage. The statistics reveal that Freiburg concedes few goals when playing away, whereas Lotte has a tendency to both score and concede, averaging 2.6 goals per match. Given Freiburg’s quality and their expected dominance in control, a match with fewer than 4.5 goals seems a sensible option, especially considering the likelihood of a victory for the visiting team.
The best prediction for SF Lotte vs Freiburg
Under 4.5 goals
Match preview: SF Lotte vs Freiburg
SF Lotte and Freiburg square off at Frimo Stadion in a match for the DFB Pokal (Round 1). Currently, there are no recent fixtures between these two sides to consider. It is crucial to pay attention to their home and away records, as SF Lotte performs differently in each setting.
Team analysis: SF Lotte
The home side embarks on this edition of the DFB Pokal, hoping for a positive result backed by their home support. Interestingly, they have a better record away than at home; over the last 30 matches, they have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring 26 goals and conceding 21. In contrast, at home, they have secured only 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, netting 31 goals while letting in 26. Their last match saw them lose to Borussia Dortmund II at home, ending 3-5. In their most recent 10 home outings, SF Lotte managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. Defensive solidity is not their forte, having conceded in 9 of the previous 10 games, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of those matches. A trend shows that 19 of the last 22 matches they played featured over 1.5 goals. They have only managed to overturn the scoreline in 3 out of the 8 games in which they conceded the first goal. Notably, they have conceded 8 of their 13 total goals at home within the first half (31’–45′).
Sportfreunde Lotte approaches this matchup as underdogs, despite having the home advantage at Frimo Stadion. In the last 10 home games, they averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded, demonstrating a pattern of high-scoring encounters and significant defensive vulnerabilities when faced with stronger teams. Their strategy should focus on maintaining an organised defence, quick counterattacks, and exploiting set pieces. While they can create chances, they often struggle with transitions and may find it difficult to manage stronger opposition for the full 90 minutes.
Team analysis: Freiburg
The visiting side enters this DFB Pokal edition aiming to make a positive impact and potentially surprise the home team. Freiburg’s form when playing away is impressive; over the last 30 matches, they achieved 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses away from home, compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses on their own turf. They come into this match following a 0-3 victory against Rheindorf Altach. Among the last 10 matches across all competitions, Freiburg recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their defence has allowed goals in 8 of those matches, indicating an area for improvement, yet their attack has been consistently effective, scoring in every one of their last 10 games. They have successfully overturned the scoreline in 2 of the 4 matches where they conceded first.
SC Freiburg are considered clear favourites. The team typically employs a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation, prioritising ball possession, high pressing, and swift wing-play. In their previous 10 away games, they scored an average of 2 goals while conceding just 0.5, highlighting their solid defence and ability to control matches on the road. Their technical, tactical, and physical quality enables Freiburg to create constant scoring opportunities, even against teams that adopt a defensive stance, managing dangerous moments with ease.
The best prediction for SF Lotte vs Freiburg
Under 4.5 goals
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