👉 What is the recommended bet for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio on 17 August 2025 is: Over 2.5 goals ⇒ available to bet on.

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Atlético-MG vs Grêmio Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

August 15, 2025[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio

Here you find the best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio in the Brazileirão Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Atlético-MG and Grêmio.

Atlético-MG

17 August 2025 – 19::00
Brazileirão Serie A
2025
Normal Time – Round 20

Grêmio

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atlético-MG vs Grêmio

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio in the Brazileirão Serie A is over 2.5 goals. Atlético-MG is navigating a season of highs and lows, trying to secure a mid-table finish, while Grêmio has been plagued by one of the leakiest defences in the top division. With both teams showcasing offensive capabilities but struggling with defensive solidity, the safest bet is for the match to see more than 2.5 goals.

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (high-risk prediction)

Match preview: Atlético-MG vs Grêmio

Atlético-MG and Grêmio clash in a match for the 20th round of the Brazileirão Serie A. Grêmio triumphed when they last met at home, winning 2-1 in this edition of the league on 29-03-2025. Recent head-to-head records slightly favour the home team, with 4 wins and 3 losses from their last 7 encounters. It’s crucial to note the home and away form, as both teams have had significantly different results in their respective home and away games.

Team analysis: Atlético-MG

The home team currently sits in 10th place, having accumulated 24 points from 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home victory against Bragantino (2-1). In their most recent fixture, they drew 1-1 against Vasco da Gama away. This team significantly benefits from home games, showcasing a stronger performance in front of their supporters, with a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 17, compared to 9 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses at home, 28 goals scored and just 10 conceded. Their last match in the Copa Sudamericana culminated in a home win over Godoy Cruz (2-1). Over their last 7 home games in the league, Atlético-MG has secured 4 wins and 3 draws, collecting 15 points from 21 available.

In this competition, they have yet to lose in their last 7 matches at home. In their league matches, the most common halftime score has been 0-0 (5 times in 7 games). Their attacking line has been consistently active, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league matches. In 17 matches in this competition, they have only turned a match around after conceding first once in 8 instances.

Atlético-MG is amidst a challenging fixture schedule and must maintain absolute focus, especially when playing at home against a weaker opponent. The team knows they must secure all three points. The strategy should revolve around an intense match, with robust pressure and ball possession management, exploiting the rival’s defensive lapses. With a competent squad and fan support, the aim is to convert their superiority into a convincing victory.

Team analysis: Grêmio

The visiting team finds itself in 15th place, having garnered 20 points through 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they suffered a 1-0 defeat away at Fluminense. Subsequently, they lost at home to Sport Recife (0-1). Grêmio generally performs better at home; their last 30 games show 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, contrasting with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses at their own ground. In the championship, Grêmio has earned only 5 points from a possible 27, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 defeats in their last 9 away fixtures. The defence has been leaky, allowing goals in 8 of the last 10 games, while their attack has been somewhat effective, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league games. However, in 18 matches this season, Grêmio has never managed to recover after conceding the first goal in 8 occurrences. Notably, of their last 20 away games across all competitions, they managed to score 7 of their 20 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes while conceding 12 of their 33 goals in the same timeframe.

Grêmio is currently facing a tough period in the Brazileirão, coming off a loss at home to Sport, who had been winless in the competition until that point. The pressure on the team and their coach, Mano Menezes, is mounting with each round and a reaction is urgent. Recent performances have been below par, with evident hurdles in creativity and finishing. Against a strong opponent, away from home, Grêmio will need to demonstrate greater intensity and organisation to avoid another setback.

The best prediction for Atlético-MG vs Grêmio

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (high-risk prediction)