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Lugano vs Basel Prediction – Super League

Check out the best predictions for Lugano vs Basel

Here you will find the best prediction for Lugano vs Basel in the Super League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and the main statistics from their last games, offering you the best prediction for this match between Lugano and Basel.

Lugano Logo
Lugano

  • 10 August 2025 – 14::30
  • Super League

  • 2025/2026
  • Normal Time – Round 3
Basel soon
Basel


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lugano and Basel

The best prediction for Lugano vs Basel in the Super League is a victory for Basel. Lugano is enduring a tough stretch, having conceded two goals recently while playing under significant pressure. This situation presents a favourable opportunity for Basel. The odds on Basel’s victory are enticing, and a more cautious bet that combines Basel winning with over 1.5 goals is also a commendable choice.

Match preview: Lugano and Basel

Lugano and Basel will clash at the Stadio di Cornaredo in a match for the 3rd round of the Super League. Historical head-to-heads at this venue favour the visitors; out of the last 8 encounters, Basel has won 3, drawn 3, and lost 2. In their most recent meeting at this ground, on 10-05-2025, Basel achieved a significant victory (2-5). The goals that day were scored by Antonio Grgić (69′) and Uran Bislimi (2′) for Lugano, while Xherdan Shaqiri (48′, 57′, and 51′), Albian Ajeti (4′), and Leo Leroy (60′) netted for Basel. It’s essential to carefully consider the home and away form, as Lugano has experienced contrasting results in these contexts.

Team analysis: Lugano

Currently sitting in 12th position, the home side has yet to secure a victory thus far. They lost their opening match at home to Thun (1-2) and followed that with a disappointing draw (4-0) away against Sion. This team is impacted by performing at home, showing stronger results when encouraged by their supporters. Over their last 30 matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses when playing away, scoring 12 goals and conceding 25, compared to 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses at home, where they scored 21 and conceded 30. In their latest match in the European Conference League, they suffered a heavy defeat to Celje at home (0-5). In their last 10 home fixtures, Lugano has managed just 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses. The defence has been leaky, conceding in 7 of those 10 matches, indicating the need for improvement in their defensive strategies. Notably, there has been a tendency for goals to occur in their home games, as 26 of their last 27 fixtures have featured over 1.5 goals. In 15 games, they allowed their opponents to score first on 7 occasions without ever managing to turn the score around.

Lugano was one of the top teams in the Swiss Super League for a significant period but has since endured a considerable drop in form. They did manage two wins in pre-season, albeit against lower-tier teams. A notable moment was their encounter with Cluj, where a marginal aggregate (1-0) led to their elimination from the European League. Recently, they have continued to struggle, with a heavy 4-0 loss to Sion and a subsequent dismal 0-5 defeat to Celje. Now they face the reigning champions, Basel, amid a climate of tension and eroded confidence.

Team analysis: Basel

The visiting team, Basel, will face Lugano in a delayed match from the 3rd round after registering 2 wins and 1 loss in their league fixtures so far. They have shown solid form when playing away, recording 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away matches. Conversely, they boast an impressive record at home with 12 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss. Their last outing on the road in this competition ended in a defeat (2-1) to St. Gallen. In their last 10 away games, Basel won 6, drew 2, and lost 2. While they have struggled defensively, conceding goals in 9 of their last 10 fixtures, their attack has been consistent, scoring at least once in each of the last 10 matches. Games tend to be high-scoring, with over 1.5 goals occurring in 19 of their last 22 fixtures and over 2.5 goals in 15 of those. Out of 15 games where they conceded first, they managed to turn the outcome around in each instance. In the last 20 away games across all competitions, 12 of their 29 goals conceded came between the minutes of 76′ and 90′.

Despite their recent setback against St. Gallen (2-1), Basel seem to have rebounded, winning their next two matches against Grasshoppers (2-1) and then overwhelming Young Boys (4-1). As defending champions, Basel recognise the challenges they faced previously in reclaiming consistency, especially evident in the latter part of last season. In this fixture at Lugano, Basel will be solely focused on clinching the 3 points, especially given the current difficulties facing their opponents. Last season, Basel triumphed over Lugano with a comprehensive (2-5) victory.

The best prediction for Lugano vs Basel

Basel to win

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