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Grêmio vs Fortaleza Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Grêmio vs Fortaleza

Here you find the best prediction for Grêmio vs Fortaleza for Brazileirão Série A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from previous matches, to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Grêmio vs Fortaleza.

Grêmio logo
Grêmio

  • 29 July 2025 – 23::30
  • Brazileirão Série A

  • 2025
  • Normal Time – Round 14
Fortaleza Logo
Strength


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Grêmio vs Fortaleza

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Fortaleza in the Brazileirão Série A is a victory for Grêmio. Given their home advantage and expected attacking play, Grêmio is likely to exploit Fortaleza’s struggles on the road. Anticipate an engaging match, with the home side pressing hard to capitalise on their opponent’s weaknesses while seeking to dictate the pace from the onset.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Fortaleza

Grêmio to win

Match preview: Grêmio vs Fortaleza

Grêmio and Fortaleza face off at Grêmio Arena in a clash in the 14th round of the Brazileirão Série A. Historically, the home side has fared well in this fixture, with 1 victory and 3 draws in the last 4 meetings. The last encounter at this venue was on 5 May 2024, where Grêmio emerged victorious with a scoreline of 3-1. Goals that day were netted by Martin Braithwaite (60′), Yeferson Soteldo (90′), and Alexander Aravena (13′) for Grêmio, with Heracles (18′) scoring for Fortaleza. The home advantage could prove crucial, as there are notable discrepancies in the home and away forms of both teams.

Team analysis: Grêmio

Currently sitting in 11th place with 16 points, Grêmio has achieved 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats. They recently fell to Cruzeiro with a score of 4-1, following a 1-1 draw against Corinthians at home. They typically perform better at home, having recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses away; in contrast, they boast 7 wins, 6 draws, and only 2 defeats at Grêmio Arena. Within the competition, they have gathered 12 points from 21 available in their last 7 home games.

In this tournament, they have not lost in 5 home games. While their defence has shown vulnerability, conceding in 7 of their last 10 matches, their offence has been prolific, scoring at least once in each of their most recent 10 matches. Notably, in 13 league matches, they have failed to reverse any of the 4 matches in which they conceded first.

Grêmio enters this match determined to recapture form in the Brazilian Championship and is aware of the significance of leveraging home advantage to secure vital points. An aggressive strategy is expected, as they aim to dominate the match from the early stages while looking to maximise their attacking opportunities with the support of their home fans.

Team analysis: Fortaleza

Currently languishing in 18th position with 10 points, Fortaleza has managed 2 victories, 4 draws, and 7 defeats. They suffered a 3-2 defeat against Santos in their penultimate match, followed by a 1-0 loss to Ceará last time out. Historically better at home, their last 30 outings as visitors resulted in just 1 win, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, while at home, they recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. In the current league, Fortaleza has gained only 3 points from 18 possible in their last 6 away games.

Recently, their performances have been particularly disappointing, with a sequence of 5 losses and failing to win any of their last 6 away fixtures. Defensive weaknesses have plagued them, conceding in 7 of the last 10 league matches. Furthermore, they rarely score the opening goal, managing to do so in just 3 of their last 13 games, and they have failed to recover from being behind in the 7 matches where they conceded first.

Fortaleza faces a challenging away match and may opt for a more conservative approach. Despite being reasonably organised, they struggle when put under pressure from home teams. The expectation is that they’ll focus on maintaining their shape and look to capitalise on any counter-attacking opportunities, although they will face significant challenges against a motivated home side.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Fortaleza

Grêmio to win

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