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Flamengo vs Atlético-MG Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Here you will find the best prediction for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG in the Brazileirão Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from previous matches to provide the most accurate prediction for the clash between Flamengo and Atlético-MG.

Flamengo Logo
Flamengo

  • 27 July 2025 – 23::30
  • Brazileirão Serie A

  • 2025

  • Normal Time – Round 17

Atletico-MG soon
Atlético-MG


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

The best prediction for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG in the Brazileirão Serie A is a victory for Flamengo. Both teams are currently at a high level, with Flamengo excelling at home while aiming to sustain their leadership. Atlético-MG shows promising offensive potential, but Flamengo is likely to control the tempo of play and push for victory. Therefore, placing a bet on Flamengo winning is the most suitable choice for this encounter.

The best prediction for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Flamengo to win

Match preview: Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Flamengo and Atlético-MG are set to face each other at Figueira de Melo Stadium in the 17th round of the Brazileirão Serie A. Historical data from previous matches at this venue favours the home side, as Flamengo has won 4 of the last 7 encounters, drawing once and losing twice. However, the last clash at this stadium on 13 November 2024 ended in a goalless draw. The home advantage could play a pivotal role in this match, especially as Atlético-MG has shown varying performance levels when playing away compared to at home.

Team analysis: Flamengo

Currently sitting in 2nd place with 33 points from 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, Flamengo is in excellent form. They secured a home victory against Fluminense (1-0) in their penultimate match and followed it up with a win away at Bragantino (2-1). The team demonstrates solid performance regardless of venue; their recent record shows 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses in their last 30 games away from home, compared to 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses at their own stadium. In their last 8 home league games, Flamengo has amassed 20 points from a possible 24.

Flamengo has maintained an unbeaten run at home for 8 matches in this competition. The most common halftime score has been 0-0 (3 out of 8 games). The team’s defence has been effective, conceding goals in only 3 of their last 10 matches, while the attack has performed consistently, scoring in 8 of the last 10 fixtures. In 15 matches this season, they have conceded the first goal 4 times, managing to come back to win only once. Additionally, a prominent trend from their last 20 home games shows they conceded 4 of their 11 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Flamengo remains determined in the race for the Brazileirão title, viewing this match as an opportunity to maintain their position atop the table. Playing at home typically sees them adopt an offensive approach, aiming to dominate from the outset. The team has shown intensity, organisation, and effective attacking strategies that bolster their status as favourites. Despite recognising Atlético-MG’s strength, Flamengo’s primary focus will be on claiming all three points to keep the pressure on their closest rivals. A strong performance is anticipated, with control over key match dynamics.

Team analysis: Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG is currently in 9th position with 20 points, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Their most recent match saw them lose to Palmeiras (2-3), following a loss away at Bahia (1-2) in the previous match. This team seems to be significantly affected by the home advantage, performing better with their supporters; their last 30 games indicate 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses away, with a total of 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home, their record stands at 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 33 goals and conceding 8. They arrive at this fixture following a home victory against Atlético Bucaramanga (3-1) in a penalty shootout. In the league, Atlético-MG has secured 8 points from a possible 24 in their last 8 away games, with the most common halftime result being 0-0.

Scoring has been consistent, with goals registered in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 14 games of the season, they conceded the first goal 7 times and have managed to recover only once. They have also scored 8 of their 21 goals in their last 20 matches as visiting teams between the 76th and 90th minutes.
Atletico-MG is grappling with inconsistency and has struggled throughout the competition, which hampers their chances of entering the title race. Despite having a talented squad, converting promising performances into tangible results has proven challenging. When playing away against an in-form opponent, a more cautious and compact defensive approach will likely be adopted, with the objective of exploiting spaces left by Flamengo and ensuring efficiency during transitions. A favourable outcome could be crucial to rebuild confidence and climb up the table.

The best prediction for Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Flamengo to win

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