Universitario vs Comerciantes Prediction – First Division

The home side arrives at this phase of the Primera Division (Clausura) after finishing the previous classification phase (Apertura) in first place with 39 points. Universitario shows little dependence on home advantage, demonstrating similar results both at home and away. In their last 30 matches, they boast 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, with 16 goals scored and 11 conceded. In contrast, they’ve achieved 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home, netting 34 goals while conceding just 9. Over their last 9 home games in the championship, they recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, gathering 22 points out of a possible 27. Their defensive unit has performed well, conceding goals in only 3 of their last 10 matches. Furthermore, their home fixtures often witness goals, as 6 of their last 9 games have concluded with over 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they have only overturned the score in 1 of the 5 games where they conceded the first goal. A notable pattern over the last 20 home matches is that they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals within the 16’–30′ minute bracket.

Having finished the Apertura phase as isolated leaders with an impressive +26 goal difference, Universitario has the best attacking line and the tightest defence in the competition, establishing themselves as clear favourites in the Clausura as well. Playing at the Monumental, they typically dominate their games with high intensity, posing challenges for their opponents.