👉 What is the recommended bet for São Paulo vs Grêmio?

The prediction and suggested bet for São Paulo vs Grêmio, on 18 May 2025, is as follows: Under 2.5 goals ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

👉 Which stadium will host the São Paulo vs Grêmio match?

The São Paulo vs Grêmio match on 18 May 2025 will be played at São Paulo, Nicolau Alayon Stadium.

Football preview

São Paulo vs Grêmio Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

May 15, 2025[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for São Paulo vs Grêmio

Here you find the best prediction for São Paulo vs Grêmio in the Brasileirão Serie A, along with a detailed match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, including their recent forms and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between São Paulo vs Grêmio.

São Paulo

17 May 2025 – 00::00
Brasileirão Serie A
2025
Normal Time – Round 9

Grêmio

Betting tip and prediction for this match between São Paulo vs Grêmio

The best prediction for São Paulo vs Grêmio in the Brasileirão Serie A is under 2.5 goals. This encounter is set to be fiercely contested, as the home team aims to control the pace in front of their supporters. Grêmio is likely to adopt a more reactive approach, looking to exploit any gaps left by their opponents. Given the playing styles and their recent history of tightly contested fixtures, this prediction aligns well with expectations.

The best prediction for São Paulo vs Grêmio

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: São Paulo vs Grêmio

São Paulo and Grêmio will compete at Nicolau Alayon Stadium in this 9th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. The recent head-to-head record at this venue favours the home side, with São Paulo winning three and drawing two of the latest five encounters. In their most recent clash at this ground on 18 July 2024, São Paulo triumphed 1-0, thanks to a goal from Lucas Moura (10′). The home advantage might prove pivotal as Grêmio tends to exhibit differing performances when playing at home versus away.

Team analysis: São Paulo

Presently, the home team sits in 16th position with 9 points accrued from 1 win, 6 draws, and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they were held to a 0-0 draw at home against Fortaleza. Most recently, they faced a 1-0 defeat away to Palmeiras. The team’s form remains consistent when playing away, with a record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses over the last 30 matches; compared to their home record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 1 loss. In their last match, they drew with Libertad at home in the Copa Libertadores de America (1-1). At home in the league, São Paulo has recorded 1 win and 3 draws in their last 4 games, earning 6 points out of 12 available.

The home side has not lost any of their last 4 matches in front of their fans. Notably, they conceded 7 of their 19 goals in the last 20 home matches within the minutes of 61′ to 75′.

As São Paulo steps into this round of Brasileirão, they show no apparent signs of fatigue either physically or mentally. Their current home form offers a positive trajectory in facing the Grêmio challenge, and maintaining their characteristic playing style should allow them to assert their dominance without much difficulty.

Team analysis: Grêmio

The visiting side is currently positioned 15th, having secured 9 points through 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats. They recently secured a 1-0 home victory against Santos but drew their latest match 1-1 at home against Bragantino. Grêmio has historically performed better at home, with 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses away over the last 30 games, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats at home. The team faced Godoy Cruz prior to this match, where they also drew 1-1. Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Grêmio has won 3, drawn 4, and lost 3. They have allowed goals in 7 of their last 8 matches, which indicates a lack of defensive solidity, though their attack has been consistent, scoring in 6 out of the last 8 matches. Notably, in their last 20 matches across all competitions, they’ve scored 8 of their 22 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while they conceded 10 out of 28 goals in the same timeframe.

However, Grêmio arrives at this match shaken after letting slip a significant victory in the Brasileirão. The team was in front against RB Bragantino until the final minutes when critical defensive errors cost them dearly. Now, to recover the lost points, it is vital for them to display greater focus on the pitch, particularly from their defenders when playing away from Porto Alegre. Adjusting their approach will be essential to enhance their chances of surprising a solid São Paulo side at home.