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Melgar vs Grau Prediction – Primera Division
Check out the best predictions for Melgar vs Grau
Here you’ll find the best prediction for Melgar vs Grau in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Melgar and Grau.
 Melgar |
|  Grau |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Melgar and Grau
The best prediction for Melgar vs Grau in the Primera Division is over 2.5 goals. The match is set to be highly contested, with both teams vying for control. Playing at home, Melgar boasts a strong attacking force and will aim to push forward aggressively, while Grau will look to capitalise on any scoring opportunities. Given both teams’ offensive capabilities, it’s likely that the match will feature more than 2.5 goals.
Match preview: Melgar vs Grau
Melgar and Grau meet at La Universidad Nacional San Agustín Stadium, in a duel for the 13th round of the Primera Division. Historical encounters at this venue lean towards the home team, who have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 meetings here. However, their most recent clash at this stadium on 24 September 2024 ended in a goalless draw. It’s essential to consider the home/away conditions, as Melgar’s results differ significantly when playing at home versus away.
Team analysis: Melgar
Currently sitting in 2nd place, Melgar has accumulated 23 points, with a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew 1-1 at home against United Traders. In their last outing, they achieved a 1-2 victory away against Cienciano. Interestingly, Melgar’s results have been more favourable away from home, with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 22 goals and conceding 19. In contrast, they have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses at home, scoring 19 goals while conceding 10. In their last match, in the South American Bridgestone Cup, they secured a 0-1 win against the Puerto Cabello Academy. Over the last 6 home league matches, Melgar has attained 13 points from 18 available. While they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, they have consistently found the back of the net, scoring in each of their last 10 league fixtures. Notably, in 20 home games across all competitions, they’ve conceded 5 of their 12 goals during the minutes (31’–45′).
Despite some fluctuations in their recent performances, Melgar remains in contention for the top of the Peruvian championship and is capable of bouncing back. At home, they tend to impose a fast pace from the outset, aiming to take control of the match. Winning is crucial as they chase a spot among the leading teams. Expectations are high for a more consistent performance, focusing on stronger defensive play and greater attacking efficiency, making them the favourites for this clash.
Team analysis: Grau
Grau, currently in 14th position, has gathered just 11 points from 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. In their last match, they drew 1-1 at home against Alianza Lima, having lost 3-0 in their previous match away to Sport Huancayo. Their recent form remains consistent, with overall performance on the road showing 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away matches. At home, their record stands at 5 wins, 9 draws, and only 1 loss. Coming into this fixture, Grau has drawn away against Sportivo Luqueño (1-1). In the league, they have earned just 2 points from 15 available, with 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 away encounters.
Their defensive structure has been weak, with goals conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches, yet they have managed to score in 7 of those. Notably, across 17 away games in all competitions, they have conceded 9 of 21 goals between the minutes (61’–75′).
Grau is enduring a challenging period this season, suffering from disappointing results and performances. They need to turn things around swiftly to stay close to their objectives. Facing a strong opponent away from home, they will need to produce a more competitive and balanced display. While the task is daunting, a cohesive team effort could prove vital. Their initial aim should be to minimise errors and exploit opportunities for counterattacks to catch the opposition off guard.
The best prediction for Melgar vs Grau
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)
