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Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction – Bundesliga
Check out the best predictions for Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Here you will find the best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, along with a detailed analysis of the match and betting tips.
Read below for our extensive analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the most accurate prediction for this encounter between Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen.
 Mainz 05 |
|  Bayer Leverkusen |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
The best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga is that both teams will score. Although a match more controlled by the visitors is anticipated, analysing their recent games suggests we are in for a very open and closely contested fixture. Notably, the market “both teams to score” has been successful in the last four matches played by Mainz 05 at home.
The best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals
Match preview: Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen face off in a match for the 34th round of the Bundesliga. The last time they met in this league edition on 14 January 2025, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won at home by 1-0. Recent head-to-head records favour the visiting team, having won 5 of the last 7 encounters, losing just 2.
Team analysis: Mainz 05
After securing 14 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, the home team currently sits in 6th position with a total of 51 points. In their last match, they triumphed over VFL Bochum 1848 with a scoreline of 4-1, following a 1-1 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt in their preceding fixture. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Mainz 05 has recorded 5 wins and 5 draws, accumulating 20 points from a possible 30.
In this competition, they have not lost at home in the last 12 matches, although they have drawn four of their latest home games. Defensive solidity has not been their strength, conceding at least one goal in each of the last 10 games, yet their attack has been consistent, netting in 8 of those matches. There’s typically a tendency for goals when Mainz play at home, as 15 of their last 16 games in this competition have had over 1.5 goals. In 33 matches, they conceded the first goal 13 times and have only managed to turn the match around once.
Mainz 05 heads into this match buoyed by their recent emphatic victory over Bochum, which saw goals from Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Jonathan Burkardt, and Paul Nebel. While hopes for Europa League qualification may be dwindling, the club still aspires to secure a spot in the Conference League, making a win essential in these final fixtures. The team is expected to set up in a 3-4-3 formation, focusing on rapid transitions and a strong wing presence. Up front, Jae-Sung Lee, Jonathan Burkardt, and Paul Nebel look to cause problems for the opposing defence, with Nadiem Amiri playing a key role in creating and dictating the tempo of the match. Dominik Kohr, Robin Zentner, Maxim Dal, and Moritz Jenz will miss out due to injury.
Team analysis: Bayer Leverkusen
The visiting side currently occupies 2nd place with 68 points, claiming 19 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses. In the match prior, they drew 2-2 against SC Freiburg. However, they suffered a 4-2 home defeat to Borussia Dortmund last time out.
Bayer Leverkusen remains unbeaten as away team, with a remarkable 16 matches without a loss. Even though defensive solidity has not been their strongest attribute—having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches—they have consistently found the net, scoring in 8 of those fixtures. In total, they have managed to turn around the scoreline in 4 of the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal this season.
Bayer Leverkusen enters this match following a disappointing 2-4 defeat against Dortmund: goals from Jeremie Frimpong and Jonas Hofmann were not enough. Playing away, the visitors are likely to maintain their regular 3-4-3 formation, with AMINE ADLI, Nathan Tella, and Patrik Schick leading the attack. Florian Wirtz acts as the creative mastermind, being pivotal in linking midfield with attack and adding complexity to opposing defences. Absences for this match include Martin Terrier, Nordi Mukiele, Sarco, Mario Hermoso, and Jeanuël Belocin, all dealing with physical issues.
Best predictions for this match
Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals
