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Bastia vs Caen Prediction – Ligue 2

Check out the best predictions for Bastia vs Caen

Here you find the best prediction for Bastia vs Caen in Ligue 2, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Bastia vs Caen.

Bastia soon
Bastia

  • 10 May 2025 – 15::00
  • Call 2

  • 2024/2025
  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 34
Caen soon
Caen


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Bastia vs Caen

The best prediction for Bastia vs Caen in Ligue 2 is a victory for Bastia. The home advantage is significant, as Bastia typically performs better in front of their fans, while Caen has struggled away from home. Therefore, betting on a home win is the most prudent choice in this encounter.

The best prediction for Bastia vs Caen

Bastia to win

Match preview: Bastia vs Caen

Bastia and Caen face off at Stade Armand-Césari in a match for the 34th round of Ligue 2. The previous encounter saw Caen win at home by 2-0 on 02-11-2024. Historical matchups at this venue have been fairly balanced, with one draw and one win for each side in their last three meetings. However, during their last match at this stadium on 23-01-2024, Caen emerged victorious with a 2-1 scoreline. Goals were netted by Benjamin Santelli (33′) for Bastia, while Alexandre Mendy (83′) and Hianga’a MBock (60′) scored for Caen. With different results at home and away, it’s essential to closely assess the teams’ performances based on location.

Team analysis: Bastia

Having secured 10 wins, 15 draws, and 8 losses, the home side currently sits in 9th place with 45 points. In their last outing, they managed a draw with Guingamp (2-2), following a defeat to Grenoble Foot 38 at home (2-3). Bastia is notably more formidable on their home turf, with a record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses when hosting, contrasting with their away form of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses over the last 30 games. The team has accrued 21 points from the last 30 available at home, reflecting 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. A 0-0 halftime scoreline has been the most common outcome in their home games. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their offence has remained consistent, scoring in 7 of those fixtures. Notably, in 33 games, they’ve only managed 2 comebacks after conceding first. A concerning trend is their vulnerability late in matches, with 5 of their 13 goals conceded coming between the 76th and 90th minutes.

This presents a great opportunity for Bastia to reconnect with their supporters. The team has been inconsistent this season and approaches this final round of Ligue 2 with little to contend for on the table, making it all the more crucial to adopt an attacking strategy against a mathematically relegated rival, with home advantage potentially acting as a significant boost in their pursuit of victory.

Team analysis: Caen

Currently languishing in 18th with just 22 points from 5 wins, 7 draws, and 21 losses, the visiting team is in dire straits. They suffered a heavy defeat to Lorient (4-0) in their penultimate match, followed by a disappointing 1-1 draw against Red Star at home. Caen has been largely unaffected by home advantage, recording a similar performance both at home and away. In their last 30 games, they’ve managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, scoring 18 goals while conceding 27. At home, they’ve seen 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, netting 19 goals and allowing 21. Throughout this league campaign, Caen has earned just 4 points from 30 available away from home, with only 1 win, a draw, and 8 losses in the last 10 away encounters. Half-time scores have often finished 0-0 in 7 of their 17 games. Defensively, they have faltered, conceding in 9 of their last 10 matches, yet consistently found the net in 7 of those. There’s a notable trend of overs, with 11 of their 16 away games featuring over 2.5 goals. They’ve conceded the first goal in 24 out of 33 matches and have failed to overturn the scoreline on each occasion. Interestingly, in their last 16 away fixtures, Caen scored 7 of their 15 goals late in matches.

Despite their recent draw, Caen has not demonstrated sufficient strength to improve their position in Ligue 2. Already confirmed for relegation, they enter this final match with little at stake. This presents an opportune moment for their coaching staff to consider resting fatigued players. With away games becoming increasingly challenging, they face a tough test against Bastia.

The best prediction for Bastia vs Caen

Bastia to win

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