Lille vs Marseille Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Lille vs Marseille. Here you will find the top prediction for Lille vs Marseille in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips. Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Lille and Marseille.

Lille
04 May 2025 – 18::45
Call 1
2024/2025 NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 32
Marseille

Prediction for the bet: The most likely prediction for this challenge is that there will be several goals. While a high-scoring encounter is anticipated from Lille, Olympique Marseille also boasts some impressive statistics, especially in attack. Notably, the “over 2.5 goals” market has been successful in 73% of Marseille’s away games. Therefore, an exciting match is expected, with both goalkeepers likely to be under constant pressure.

The best prediction for Lille vs Marseille in Ligue 1 is over 2.5 goals. This expectation is reinforced by both teams’ attacking prowess, as highlighted by Marseille’s scoring record away from home. A match with numerous goals seems very likely, making this a worthwhile bet.

Match preview: Lille and Marseille play at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in a meeting for the 32nd round of Ligue 1. The two teams drew 1-1 on 14 December 2024 in their last encounter in this league edition. At this venue, the history of direct confrontations favours the home team, which has won all of the last four meetings. The last time they faced off at this stadium was on 5 April 2024, where Lille triumphed with a 3-1 victory. Goals came from Gabriel Gudmundsson (84′), Rémy Cabella (71′), and Jonathan David (54′) for Lille, while Ismail scored for Marseille (81′). The home advantage could play a crucial role here, as Lille has shown noticeable differences in performance at home compared to away.

Team analysis: Lille
Following 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, the home team currently sits in 3rd position with 56 points. In their last match, they beat Angers SCO 2-0, having previously secured a 3-1 victory against Auxerre at home. At their stadium, Lille has been particularly strong, recording 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 15 home games. In the last 10 league matches at home, they have achieved 8 victories, 1 draw, and 1 loss, collecting 25 points from a possible 30. Their attack has been consistently effective, scoring in 9 of their last 10 league matches. Out of 31 matches in this competition, they managed to turn the score around in 4 of the 10 games where they conceded the first goal. Lille arrives at this fixture after the aforementioned victory, with goals scored by Hákon Arnar Haraldson and Alexsandro. The northern French side typically employs a 4-4-2 formation, favouring quick transitions and effectively utilising the flanks. Jonathan David and Chuba Akpom are expected to lead the attack, posing significant threats to the opposition’s defence. For this match, coach Bruno Genésio will be without Samuel Umtiti, Edon Zhegrova, and Tiago Santos, all of whom are injured.

Team analysis: Marseille
The visiting team is currently in 2nd place, having secured 58 points from 18 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they triumphed at home against Montpellier, winning 5-1. In the last fixture, they defeated Brest 4-1 at home. This team maintains a strong performance even when playing away, with 9 wins and 6 losses recorded in their last 30 away games. In the league, Marseille has earned 15 points from 30 possible, with 5 wins and 5 losses in their last 10 away matches. Notably, they have experienced a streak of 4 losses in their last away games as well. The team has conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, yet their attack has scored consistently, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 league games. Their away fixtures tend to be high-scoring, with 11 of their last 15 matches in the competition ending with more than 2.5 goals. In 31 games in this competition, they managed to turn the score around in 4 of the 13 matches where they conceded first. Olympique Marseille enters this match after a resounding 4-1 victory against Brest, with goals from Amine Gouiri (3) and an own goal from Brendan Chardonnet. The visiting side typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, characterised by a fast and vertical style of play. The standout players in the attacking line are Mason Greenwood, Amine Gouiri, and Luis Henrique, while midfielder Adrien Rabiot plays a pivotal role in orchestrating the team’s attacks with his exceptional passing ability, crucial for crafting dangerous opportunities. All players are available for selection in this match.

The best prediction for Lille vs Marseille in Ligue 1 is over 2.5 goals.