Derby vs Stoke Prediction – Championship

Check out the best guesses for Derby vs Stoke. Here you find the best guess of Derby vs Stoke for the Championship, in addition to the match analysis and betting tips. Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent record and the main statistics of the last games to offer the best guess for this match between Derby and Stoke.

Match preview: Championship

Derby 03 May 2025 – 11::30 Championship 2024/2025 NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 46

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Derby and Stoke

The most likely prediction for this challenge will be the occurrence of few goals. In addition to expecting a relatively balanced meeting, the two teams have shown a cohesive defensive sector, allowing the opponent to create few goal opportunities. It is noteworthy that the “less than 2.5 goals” market has won in 68% of Derby County games played at home.

The best prediction for Derby vs Stoke

• Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
• Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
• Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

Departure forecast

Derby and Stoke play at Pride Park Stadium, in a match for the 46th round of the Championship. It was Stoke City who won at home by (2‑1) the last time they faced each other in this edition of the League, on 02‑01‑2024. At this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favourable to the home team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. Indeed, the last time they faced each other at this stadium was on 22‑07‑2023, in a match for club friendlies that ended with the victory of Derby County by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (41′), Curtis Nelson (19′) and James Collins (26′) for Derby. In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as Stoke features significant differences in home and visitor results.

Team analysis: Derby

The home team is currently in 19th place, with 49 points won, after 13 wins, 10 draws and 22 losses. In the penultimate match, they won away against West Bromwich Albion by (1‑3). In the last match, they won away against Hull City by (0‑1). This is a team that maintains performance when playing outside their stadium, as in the last 30 games they record 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses as a visitor; compared to 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses at home. For the Championship, Derby has earned 11 points from 30 possible, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 games played at their stadium. In their Championship home games, the most frequent score at half-time was 0‑0 (8 in 22 games). Their attack has scored regularly, having found the net in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their home matches for the Championship, there is a trend for few goals, as in 15 of the last 22 they played, there were less than 3 goals. Out of 45 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 23 times and have never managed to turn the score around. Derby County arrives at this match buoyed by a hard-fought triumph against Hull City, winning 0-1, with the only goal of the match scored by Nat Phillips. Despite the victory, John Eustace’s team does not yet have their safety assured, making this meeting crucial for their season. The home team is expected to keep the usual 3-5-2 formation, with Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness as key attacking players. Ebou Adams will direct operations from midfield, facilitating quick transitions and building attacking plays. However, the manager will be without several players due to injury, including Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, David Ozoh, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Dajaune Brown, Curtis Nelson, and Ryan Nyambe.

Team analysis: Stoke

The visiting team is currently in 18th place, with 50 points won, after 12 wins, 14 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to Leeds United by (6‑0). In the last match, they lost at home to Sheffield United by (0‑2). This is a team that is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as in the last 30 games they record 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses as a visitor, scoring a total of 13 goals and conceding 29. At home, they achieved 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 17. In the last 10 games away in the Championship, Stoke has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, earning 8 points from 30 possible. The most frequent score at half-time in their away games was 0‑0 (9 in 22 games). The team has conceded goals to opponents in 7 of the last 10 games, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Out of 45 games in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score in 2 of the 21 games where they conceded the first goal. Stoke City enters this match motivated despite their recent 0-2 defeat to Sheffield United. Like their opponents, the Potters need a positive result to ensure their survival in the Championship. The team managed by Mark Robins is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Jun-Ho Bae, Million MANHOEF, and Sam Gallagher forming the forward trio. Their main attacking threat will come from the right flank, where Junior Tchamadeu aims to exploit his pace and flair to unsettle the opposing defence. For this clash, the manager will be without Michael Rose, Enda Stevens, Jordan Thompson, and Eric-Junior Bocat, all sidelined by injury.

The best prediction for Derby vs Stoke

The best prediction for Derby vs Stoke in the Championship is less than 2.5 goals. Given the recent performances and defensive strengths of both teams, it is anticipated that the match will see limited scoring opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of a low goal tally.