Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction – Championship

Check out the best predictions for Plymouth vs Leeds. Here you will find the best prediction for Plymouth vs Leeds for the Championship, alongside match analysis and betting tips. Read below for our detailed examination of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Plymouth and Leeds.

Plymouth 03 May 2025 – 11::30 Championship 2024/2025 NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 46 Leeds

Prediction for the bet: The most likely prediction for this contest will be the occurrence of several goals. While Leeds United boasts a more consistent and superior overall record, Plymouth Argyle, playing at home and needing goals, will likely seek a positive result and may take more risks than usual. It is worth noting that the “over 2.5 goals” market has been successful in 73% of Plymouth Argyle’s home matches. Therefore, considering the competitive context and the attacking intent of both teams, betting on the “over 2.5 goals” market proves to be a valuable option.

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Plymouth vs Leeds

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double, or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Plymouth vs Leeds

Plymouth and Leeds play at Home Park in a match for the 46th round of the Championship. It was Leeds United who triumphed at home with a score of (3‑0) the last time they met in this edition of the League on 02‑11-2024. The record of recent direct encounters favours the visiting team, which has won 3 and drawn 2 of the last 5 matches. The home/away aspect is noteworthy, as despite this being a clash between the 23rd and 1st place teams in the overall standings, it is essentially a contest between the 17th placed team in home games and the 3rd placed team as visitors.

Team analysis: Plymouth

The home team is currently in 23rd place, having accumulated 46 points from 11 wins, 13 draws, and 21 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home victory against Coventry City (3‑1). In their last match, they won away against Preston North End (1‑2). Plymouth is significantly stronger at home, having gathered 34 points compared to just 12 when playing away. In their last 10 home matches in the Championship, Plymouth has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, claiming 16 points from a possible 30. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. Their home matches tend to feature goals, with 16 out of 22 ending with over 2.5 goals. Plymouth Argyle rarely opens the scoring first, having done so in only 11 of their last 45 Championship matches; of these, they were ahead at half-time in 8 and won 8 of them. In 45 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 32 times and only managed to turn the score around on 3 occasions. In their last 22 home games in this competition, they highlighted that 15 of their 39 goals were scored between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Plymouth Argyle approaches this challenge with high confidence following a crucial victory against Preston (1-2). Despite this positive result, their survival in the competition remains precarious; the home club must win and hope for favourable outcomes in matches involving Luton, Preston, and Derby. Neil Dewsnip’s team is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Bundu, Hardie, and Tijani leading the attack, supported by Adam Randell in midfield. Brendan Galloway and Maksym Taloverov will miss out due to injury.

Team analysis: Leeds

After achieving 28 wins, 13 draws, and 4 losses, the visiting team sits at the top of the table with 97 points. In their last match, they comfortably defeated Bristol City at home (4‑0), following a previous home victory against Stoke City (6‑0). Leeds United has been significantly affected by the home factor, securing 39 points as visitors and 58 at their own ground, having scored 61 goals and conceded 12 at home, compared to 32 scored and 17 conceded away. In the Championship, Leeds has gathered 19 points from 30 possible in their last 10 away matches, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Their attack has been prolific, scoring in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. However, their away matches have often seen fewer goals, as 16 of their last 22 games in the competition finished with under 2.5 goals. In 45 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 12 times and managed to turn the score around only twice.

Leeds United approaches this final round motivated after a convincing 4-0 victory against Bristol City. Daniel Farke’s side has already secured promotion back to the Premier League but still has the objective of winning the Championship title. The visiting team is expected to maintain their usual 4-3-3 formation, with Solomon, Gnonto, and Joel Piroe as key attacking players. Tactically, the Whites tend to favour the left flank in attack, with Junior Firpo playing a crucial role in their rapid incursions and creating mismatches. Pascal Struijk and Joe Rothwell will be sidelined due to injuries.

The best prediction for Plymouth vs Leeds in the Championship is over 2.5 goals. This prediction is based on both teams’ attacking capabilities and Plymouth’s need to score, making for a potentially high-scoring affair.