Nacional vs Sportivo Amel. Prediction – Division Profesional

Check out the best guesses for Nacional vs Sportivo Amel. Here you find the best guess of Nacional vs Sportivo Amel. By the Professional Division, as well as the match analysis and betting tips. Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent record and the main statistics of the last games to offer the best guess for this match between Nacional vs Sportivo Amel.

National 04 May 2025 – 21::00 Professional Division 2025 DIVISION 1 – APERTURE – ROUND 17 Sportivo Amel. Betting tip and prediction for this match between Nacional vs Sportivo Amel. They play in a match in which Nacional, playing at home, has a good chance of securing the three points. The suggested bet is for Nacional to win, considering their strong home performance.

The best prediction for Nacional vs Sportivo Amel in the Professional Division is a victory for Nacional. The match will take place at the Arsenio Erico Stadium, as part of the 17th round of the Professional Division. Sportivo Ameliano managed to win at home (2-1) the last time they faced Nacional in this edition of the League, on 22-02-2025. However, the historical record at this stadium favours the home team, with Nacional securing 2 wins and 1 loss in their last 3 encounters. Indeed, the most recent clash at this venue was on 28-2023, where Nacional Asunción triumphed with a scoreline of (2-1). Facundo Ezequiel Velazco Flores netted twice for Nacional in that match, while Alberto Contrera managed a goal for Sportivo Amel.

Although this matchup features the 11th and 7th placed teams in the overall standings, it is worth noting that Nacional ranks 4th in home games, while Sportivo Amel sits 7th as a visitor.

Team analysis: Nacional

The home side currently occupies 11th place, having accrued 15 points from 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew at home against Deportivo Recoleta (1-1), followed by a loss away to Guarani (2-1). Nacional has been significantly impacted by home advantage, gathering 11 points in front of their own fans, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded, compared to a mere 4 points on the road, where they have netted 5 times but conceded 11.

In their last 8 home games for the championship, Nacional has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, securing 11 points out of a possible 24. The most frequent results in their home matches include a half-time score of 1-0 (3 times in 8 games) and a final score of 1-0 (3 times in 8 games). The team has been consistent in finding the net, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. However, they have conceded the first goal in 8 of the 16 games played and have never managed to come back from behind. Nacional is experiencing a challenging campaign, languishing near the bottom of the table, which increases the pressure on the squad. They must harness the support of their fans to secure a much-needed victory and regain their footing in the league. A higher level of technical quality and a more determined approach are crucial in overcoming their recent struggles. The margin for error is slim, and any slip-up could prove costly. A win is deemed essential to alleviate their current instability and restore confidence for the remainder of the season.

Team analysis: Sportivo Amel

The visiting team currently sits in 7th place, having gathered 17 points from 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. In their last outing, they drew 0-0 with Libertad at home, following a previous away victory against Mayo 2 (1-4). Sportivo Amel has shown resilience regardless of being home or away, amassing nearly the same number of points in both scenarios, scoring 9 goals and conceding 8 at home, whilst netting 7 and conceding 9 as visitors.

In their last 8 matches in the Championship, Sportivo Amel has achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, accumulating 8 points from a possible 24. Notably, the most common half-time score in their away games has been 0-0 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have let in goals in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 16 games, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and only managed to turn the score around once. Sportivo Amel is executing a typical mid-table campaign, managing to stay clear of the relegation zone but lacking significant ambitions at this time. When playing away, they often adopt a more cautious approach, prioritising defensive stability. Nonetheless, they will seek to exploit spaces left by their opponents, focusing on counter-attacks and set pieces. Their goal is to secure at least a point and, if possible, to pull off a surprise result to further solidify their comfortable position in the league standings.

The best prediction for Nacional vs Sportivo Amel is a victory for Nacional.