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Alavés vs Atlético Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Alavés vs Atlético

Here you will find the finest prediction for Alavés vs Atlético in La Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including their recent performance and the key statistics from their latest games to provide the best prediction for this match between Alavés and Atlético.

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Alert

  • 03 May 2025 – 12::00
  • La Liga

  • 2024/2025

  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 34

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Athletic


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Alavés vs Atlético

The best prediction for Alavés vs Atlético in La Liga is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. Despite Atlético Madrid being the favourites, Alavés, playing at home, is likely to adopt a cautious approach, making it challenging for the ‘mattresses’ to create offensive opportunities. Notably, the “less than 2.5 goals” market has been successful in 81% of Alavés’ home games, reinforcing expectations for a tightly contested match with limited chances.

The best prediction for Alavés vs Atlético

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Alavés vs Atlético

Alavés and Atlético will face off at the Mendizorroza Stadium in a match of the 34th round of La Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on 23‑11‑2024, Atlético Madrid triumphed at home with a score of 2-1. Historically, direct confrontations at this venue favour the home team, with Alavés winning 2 of the last 3 matchups. Indeed, in their last meeting at this stadium in La Liga on 21‑04‑2024, Deportivo Alavés won 2-0, with goals from Luis Rioja (90′) and Carlos Benavidity (15′).

Team analysis: Alavés

The home team currently occupies 17th place with 34 points from 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew 1-1 away at Sevilla. Their last outing saw them secure a 1-0 win at home against Real Sociedad. In the league, Alavés has accrued 9 points out of a possible 30, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 home games. Typically, matches at their ground have seen the half-time score often ending 0-0 (6 times in 16 games). While their defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in 7 of the last 10 games, their attack has been relatively consistent, scoring in 7 out of the last 10. Notably, 13 of their last 16 home league matches have finished with fewer than 2.5 goals. From 33 games this season, they conceded the first goal 18 times without managing to turn things around successfully.

Deportivo Alavés comes into this motivated after a 1-0 victory away at Real Sociedad, with Nahuel Tenaglia scoring the decisive goal. Under the management of Eduardo Coudet, Alavés employs a tactical 4-3-3 formation, focusing on quick transitions and strong wing play to catch opponents off guard. The attacking responsibilities primarily lie with Carlos Martín, Carlos Vicente, and Kike García, a dynamic trio characterised by mobility, speed, and physical presence in the box. All players are available for selection in this match.

Team analysis: Atlético

The visiting team sits in 3rd place, having amassed 66 points from 19 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses. Their penultimate match ended in a defeat to Las Palmas (0-1). In their most recent match, they secured a commanding 3-0 win over Rayo Vallecano. Over the last 10 league matches away from home, Atlético has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, earning 17 points from a possible 30. Similar to Alavés, their matches frequently see half-time scores of 0-0 (6 times in 16 games). Although the defence has shown lapses, conceding in 7 of the last 10 outings, the attack has been prolific, finding the back of the net in 9 out of 10 games. From their 33 league matches this season, they successfully turned around the score in 5 out of the 13 games where they conceded first.

Atlético Madrid arrives at this fixture following a 3-0 victory against Rayo Vallecano, with goals from Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez, and Conor Gallagher. The visiting side typically adopts a 4-4-2 formation, favouring swift transitions and wing play to threaten opposition defences, with Julián Álvarez and Alexander Sørloth leading the attack. Midfielder Rodrigo de Paul orchestrates their offensive efforts. All players are available for selection in this match.

Best predictions for this match

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

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