👉 What is the recommended bet for Atletico Nacional vs Pasto?

The prediction and suggested bet for Atletico Nacional vs Pasto, on 29 April 2025, is: Atletico Nacional to win.

👉 Which stadium will host the Atletico Nacional vs Pasto match?

The match between Atletico Nacional and Pasto on 29 April 2025 will take place in Medellin, at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Football preview

Atlético Nacional vs Pasto Prediction – Primera División

April 25, 2025[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Atletico Nacional vs Pasto

Here you will find the best prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Pasto in the first division, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent record and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Atletico Nacional and Pasto.

Atletico Nacional

29 April 2025 – 00::30
Primera Division
2025
APERTURE – ROUND 16

Pasto

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Atletico Nacional and Pasto

The best prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Pasto in the Primera Division is a victory for Atletico Nacional. Atletico Nacional will be looking to assert their dominance at home in front of their fans. Historically, they perform well in familiar surroundings, especially against teams with a more defensive approach like Pasto. While Pasto is competitive, they often lack the cutting edge needed to pose a significant threat. Therefore, placing your bet on Atletico Nacional to win seems the most prudent choice.

The best prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Pasto

Atletico Nacional to win

Match preview: Atletico Nacional vs Pasto

Atletico Nacional and Pasto will clash at Atanasio Girardot Stadium, in a match of the 16th round of the Primera Division. Historically, the direct encounters are favourable to the home team, which has achieved 6 wins and a draw in the last 7 matches. In fact, their last encounter at this stadium took place on 5th December 2024, where Atletico Nacional emerged victorious with a scoreline of (2-1). Goals during that match came from Alfredo Morelos (55′) and Álvaro Angulo (49′) for Atletico Nacional, while Kevin Londoño (86′) contributed to Pasto’s tally. It’s worth noting that home advantage can play a crucial role, as both teams tend to show marked discrepancies in their home and away performances.

Team analysis: Atletico Nacional

Currently, the home team occupies 2nd place with 28 points, having secured 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. In their penultimate match, they triumphed at home against Boyacá Chicó with a score of (4-1). However, they faced a setback in their last match, losing away to Deportivo Cali by (1-0). The stats reflect that Atletico Nacional are significantly stronger when playing at home, with only 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses recorded from their last 30 matches as visitors, scoring 16 goals and conceding 16. In contrast, at home, they have achieved 11 wins and 4 draws, netting 36 goals whilst conceding just 10. In their most recent match in the Copa Libertadores de America, they were beaten by Bahia (1-0).

It’s noteworthy that they have not lost any of their last 7 home games in this competition. At home, the most common score at half-time has been 1-0, occurring in 4 of their 7 matches. In 15 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but never managed to turn the scoreline in their favour when behind.

Despite the setback in the previous round, Atletico Nacional remains resolute in their pursuit of top positions in the league. Competing at home, they are eager to reclaim a winning streak with a commanding display in front of their supporters. The team generally enjoys greater possession and aims to control the match from the early minutes. They will strive to impose their style and press the opposition in an attacking fashion. However, maintaining defensive concentration to avoid counter-attacks will be essential. They are anticipated to deliver an intense performance, as Atletico Nacional aim not to drop any points. Their home advantage could be pivotal in determining the match’s outcome.

Team analysis: Pasto

The visiting side currently sits in 9th position with 23 points from 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. In their latest match, Pasto secured a narrow victory against Rionegro Águilas at home (1-0), following a defeat on the road to Alianza Petrolera (1-0) in the previous match. Their away record suggests they are less effective on the road, with only 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses from their last 30 matches as visitors, during which they scored 11 goals and conceded 16. When playing at home, they have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, achieving a total of 24 goals while conceding 14. In their last 7 league matches, Pasto has recorded just 1 victory, alongside 3 draws and 3 defeats, accumulating 6 points from a possible 21.

In this competition, they have not triumphed in their last 4 away matches. During the league matches, the score at the half-time break most commonly finished at 1-0, which happened in 3 of their 8 games. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, though their attack has been consistent, managing to score in 7 of their last 10 fixtures in this competition. Their away games have often resulted in low-scoring encounters, with 16 of their last 26 matches ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 matches in this league, Pasto has only managed to overturn the scoreline once in the 7 games where they were the first to concede. A noteworthy trend from their last 17 away matches across all competitions is that they netted 6 of their 11 goals during the closing segment of the match (76′-90′).

Pasto is currently on a solid trajectory and continues to chase a position in the qualification zone for the next phase of the competition. Aware of the challenges that facing Atletico Nacional away from home presents, they remain determined to play a competitive match. Their primary focus will be on defensive organisation while seeking to exploit potential counter-attacking opportunities. Tactical discipline and concentration will be crucial for maintaining balance throughout the match. Deportivo Pasto understands that even securing a point in this encounter could be invaluable for their aspirations. With a cautious yet confident approach, they aim to disrupt Atletico Nacional’s plans and deliver a surprise.