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Santa Clara vs Arouca Prediction – Primeira Liga
Check out the best predictions for Santa Clara vs Arouca
Here you will find the best prediction for Santa Clara vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Santa Clara and Arouca.
 Santa Clara |
|  Arouca |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santa Clara and Arouca
The best prediction for Santa Clara vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga is that Santa Clara wins or draws and there are fewer than 3.5 goals. Santa Clara has proven to be a pragmatic side, often featuring matches with few goals. In 80% of their last 10 home games, they saw no more than 2 goals. Although Arouca is capable of scoring, if that transpires, it is likely to be a hard-fought battle for goals. Given that Santa Clara is favoured, the bet combining the double chance for Santa Clara with under 3.5 goals appears to be a compelling option.
The best prediction for Santa Clara vs Arouca
Santa Clara wins or draws and there are fewer than 3.5 goals
Match preview: Santa Clara vs Arouca
Santa Clara and Arouca meet at the Estádio de São Miguel for the 31st round of the Primeira Liga. The last encounter between these teams in this competition was on 15‑12‑2024, where Arouca emerged victorious at home by 1-0. Historically, the visiting team has enjoyed a favourable record at this stadium, with 2 wins and 1 loss over their last 3 meetings here. The most recent confrontation at this ground occurred on 16‑12‑2022 during a League Cup match, which Arouca won 1-2. Goals that day were netted by Matheus Babi (56′) for Santa Clara, while Jerome Opoku (30′) and Oday Dabbagh (87′) found the net for Arouca. The home advantage could play a significant role, as Arouca has shown marked differences in their performance at home and away.
Team analysis: Santa Clara
After securing 14 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, the home side currently sits in 6th place, having amassed 47 points. In their last fixture, they drew 1-1 against Rio Ave, following a previous home defeat to Sporting CP by 0-1. This team maintains a steady performance, displaying a record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses away from home over their last 30 matches, compared to 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses on their home turf. Within the championship, Santa Clara has managed to collect 14 points from the last 30 possible, featuring 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses from their last 10 home games. The most common scoreline at the end of the first half in their home matches has been 0-0, which occurred in 7 out of 15 games. Defensive vulnerabilities have been noticeable, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 league matches. Furthermore, there tends to be a low scoring trend in their home fixtures, with 11 of their last 15 league games finishing with fewer than 2.5 goals. Out of 30 games in the competition, they have only managed to overturn the score in 2 instances after conceding first.
Santa Clara still harbours hopes of reaching the 5th position, which is a perfectly legitimate and feasible goal, given their proximity to Vitória SC. Despite being only 1 point behind 5th place, it is worth noting that Santa Clara has not been in great form lately, registering 2 losses in their last matches. They were fortunate to secure a draw in their last outing against Rio Ave, narrowly avoiding defeat only in minute 85. Now, they will host Arouca, a team that has achieved good results in their previous two encounters.
Team analysis: Arouca
The away side is currently positioned 12th, having accumulated 33 points from 8 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew 2-2 away against Benfica. In their most recent outing, they triumphed at home against the amateurs with a score of 1-0. Interestingly, this team has performed better away from home, recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, having scored a total of 22 goals while conceding 24. Conversely, at home, they have 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 19. In the league, Arouca has amassed 13 points from their last 30 possible, with a record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their previous 10 away games. Defensively, they have shown weaknesses, conceding in 8 of their last 10 games, though their attack has found the net regularly, scoring in 9 of those encounters. Their away matches tend to feature goals, with 11 of their last 15 games ending with over 2.5 goals. Over the course of 30 league matches, they have found themselves conceding first on 14 occasions without ever managing to turn the result around.
Arouca has bounced back after suffering two consecutive defeats, managing to earn a 2-2 draw at Estádio da Luz which was unexpected. Subsequently, they achieved a 1-0 victory against the amateurs, signalling a return to better form. Under Vasco Seabra’s management, they have demonstrated a commendable scoring approach, netting goals in their last 9 away matches, which highlights the mindset of seeking victory, even against tougher opponents. At Santa Clara’s stadium, Arouca is determined to push for the full 3 points, driving their motivation to produce a strong performance.
The best prediction for Santa Clara vs Arouca
Santa Clara wins or draws and there are fewer than 3.5 goals
