Real Madrid vs Athletic de Bilbao Prediction – La Liga

The home team currently sits in 2nd place, having accrued 66 points from 20 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they suffered a home defeat to Valencia (1‑2). However, they bounced back with an away victory over Deportivo Alavés (0‑1). This team is relatively unaffected by home advantage, showcasing similar performance both at home and away; in their last 30 matches, they registered 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, scoring 28 goals and conceding 17, while at home they achieved 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, netting 38 goals and conceding 25. They enter this encounter following a home defeat to Arsenal (1‑2) in a Champions League fixture. In La Liga, Real Madrid has earned 22 points from a possible 30, having secured 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses over their last 10 home games. Their defensive solidity has been their weak point, conceding goals in 8 of their last 10 games, but their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 9 of the last 10 league matches. In their home games this campaign, there is a tendency for goals; 10 of 15 fixtures resulted in over 2.5 goals. Of the 31 matches played in the league, they conceded the first goal 11 times, managing to turn the score around on 4 occasions. In their last 15 home fixtures in this competition, one notable period stands out: they conceded 6 of their 16 goals in the minutes (76’–90 ′).

Real Madrid heads into this match following a 1-2 defeat at home to Arsenal in the Champions League. In their most recent La Liga match, they triumphed over Alavés (0-1). Typically, the home side employs a 4-3-3 formation, with Endrick, Vinícius Júnior, and Rodrygo as key offensive assets. When transitioning to attack, they favour plays down the right flank, utilising the pace of full-back Lucas Vázquez. Missing from this match will be Kylian Mbappé, who is suspended, alongside injured players Ferland Mendy, Andriy Lunin, Daniel Carvajal, and Éder Militão.