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Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica Prediction – Primeira Liga

Check out the best predictions for Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica

Here you will find the most insightful prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, which includes recent form and the key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica.

Vitória de Guimarães Soon
Vitória de Guimarães

  • 19 April 2025 – 19::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2024/2025

  • Normal Time – Round 30

Benfica soon
Benfica


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica

The best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga is Vitória SC Asian Handicap +0.25. Vitória de Guimarães is currently in a very confident phase, displaying solid defensive play, and poses a substantial challenge to Bruno Lage’s side. The goal market could be intriguing, as Benfica tends to make defensive errors, and the Asian handicap (+1.25) in favour of Vitória SC could prove valuable considering the difficulties Benfica will face in securing a win in this match.

The best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica

Vitória SC Handicap Asian +0.25

Match preview: Vitória de Guimarães vs Benfica

Vitória de Guimarães and Benfica meet at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques for the 30th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter on 07 December 2024, Benfica clinched a narrow (1-0) victory at home. Historical data indicates that the visiting team has had the upper hand at this venue, winning 2 and drawing 3 of their last 5 matches. However, in their latest outing here during a Primeira Liga fixture on 11 February 2024, the teams drew (2-2). The match saw goals from André Silva (61′) and Tiago Silva (35′) for Vitória de Guimarães, while Rafa (40′) and Arthur Cabral (90′) found the net for Benfica. Notably, home and away performances are significantly skewed, with both teams showing contrasting results in their respective venues.

Team analysis: Vitória de Guimarães

Currently occupying the 5th position with 48 points, the home side boasts 12 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they achieved a 2-0 home victory against Santa Clara, followed by a 1-0 win against Gil Vicente away. This team thrives in front of their home supporters, demonstrating a stark contrast in form; over 30 away matches, they’ve managed 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, scoring 19 times while conceding 19, compared to 8 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 loss at home with 27 goals for and 16 against.

In the Primeira Liga, they have yet to lose any of their last 11 home games, often reaching halftime with scores of 1-0 (recorded 5 times in 14 games) or 0-0 (5 times). Their defensive strength is evident, as they’ve only conceded in 3 of their last 10 matchups, while their attack has been effective, scoring in 8 of those 10 league matches. Notably, in 29 league games, they’ve only turned the score around once from the 13 games in which they fell behind. Furthermore, in their last 14 home games, they conceded 5 of their 14 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Victória SC has shown impressive form lately, securing 3 wins and a draw in their last 5 fixtures, with goals conceded in just one of those matches. Their victory over Santa Clara, a team that was previously in 5th place, underscores their recent rise. Under Luís Freire’s management, the current iteration of Vitória SC is performing at its peak and will enter this match against Benfica with high confidence levels.

Team analysis: Benfica

With 22 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, the visiting team currently leads the league standings with 68 points. In their last match, they played to a 2-2 draw against Arouca, following a commanding 4-1 victory over Porto in their previous outing. Interestingly, Benfica has been more formidable away from home, as they have garnered 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away games, in contrast to 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at home. In the league, Benfica has accumulated 22 points from a possible 30, achieving 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 10 away games.

Throughout this competition, they have achieved victory in their last 5 away matches. Their attack has consistently found the back of the net, scoring at least once in the last 10 league games. A trend toward goal-heavy matches has emerged, with 12 of the last 14 away matches concluding with over 1.5 goals. Benfica typically secures the first goal in matches, having opened the scoring in 22 of their last 29 league games, with 16 leading at halftime and preserving their advantage in 19 of those fixtures. Remarkably, they managed to overturn the score in 3 of the 7 games where they conceded the first goal. An essential factor to note is that in their last 14 away matches, they conceded 5 of their 14 goals in the dying moments (76th-90th minutes).

Under Bruno Lage’s guidance, Benfica experienced unexpected points loss, particularly against Arouca, as they had been on a five-match winning streak. As they travel to Minho to face Vitória SC, the task is by no means straightforward. Points dropped are unacceptable for the hosts, as they risk allowing Sporting to close the gap, making the upcoming classic against the Lions in the penultimate round crucial if they wish to retain hopes of finishing at the top, especially with two games still remaining before that showdown.

Best predictions for this match

Vitória SC Handicap Asian +0.25

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