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Marseille vs Montpellier Prediction – Ligue 1
Check out the best predictions for Marseille vs Montpellier
Here you will find the best prediction for Marseille vs Montpellier from Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting insights.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for the encounter between Marseille vs Montpellier.
 Marseille |
|  Montpellier |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Marseille vs Montpellier
The best prediction for this match between Marseille vs Montpellier in Ligue 1 is a victory for Olympique Marseille and the expectation of more than 2.5 goals. The home side will benefit from the overwhelming support of their fans and faces a Montpellier team struggling with poor away performances, having suffered numerous defeats recently. Notably, 57% of Marseille’s home matches have concluded with over two goals at the final whistle. Coupled with these insights, backing “Olympique Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals” in this fixture presents a promising opportunity.
The best prediction for Marseille vs Montpellier
Marseille wins and more than 1.5 goals
Match preview: Marseille vs Montpellier
Marseille and Montpellier are set to clash in the 30th round of Ligue 1. In their last encounter in this competition, on 20‑10‑2024, Olympique Marseille triumphed with a substantial score of (0‑5). Recent head-to-head records suggest an advantage for the home team, who have emerged victorious in 5 of their last 8 matchups, with 3 drawn. It’s important to note that while this match sees the 3rd-placed team face off with the 18th-placed side in the overall standings, Marseille’s home performances position them as the 9th best at home, contrasting sharply with Montpellier’s away struggles.
Team analysis: Marseille
Currently placed 3rd with 52 points, Marseille has accrued 16 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. Their last outing saw them succumb to a 3‑0 loss against Monaco, following a narrow home victory over Toulouse (3‑2) in the previous match. Interestingly, Marseille have fared better away than at home, earning 27 points on the road compared to just 25 at their own ground. Over the last 10 home matches in the league, they have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, garnering 20 points from a possible 30. While their defensive record has been shaky, conceding goals in 8 of the last 10 fixtures, their attack remains consistent, having found the net in 7 of the last 10 league games. Throughout the 29 matches played, Marseille has come from behind to win 4 times after conceding the first goal.
Olympique Marseille approach this match following a 3-0 defeat against Monaco. Under the guidance of Roberto de Zerbi, the team typically deploys a tactical setup of 3-4-3, with Adrien Rabiot, Sam Greenwood, and Amine Gouiri leading the attacking line. In their offensive strategy, they tend to direct their attacks down the right flank, capitalising on the depth provided by Brazilian Luis Henrique. All players are fit and available for selection in this fixture.
Team analysis: Montpellier
Presently in 18th place with 15 points, Montpellier’s record reads 4 wins, 3 draws, and 21 losses so far. Their latest match resulted in a 2-0 defeat against Angers SCO, following a home loss to Le Havre (0-2) in the previous match. Montpellier is noticeably stronger at home, accumulating 12 points on their turf, whereas they have only managed 3 points in away fixtures. In the league, they have secured just 3 points from the last 30 available, with 1 win and 9 losses out of their last 10 away games. Their away matches often yield a couple of trends: they frequently finish 0-0 at half-time (6 times in 14 games) and 1-0 at full-time (5 times in 14 games). Defensively, Montpellier has struggled, conceding goals in every one of their last 10 matches and failing to score in 8 of their last 10 league outings. The trend of low scoring continues in their away games, with 9 of their last 14 matches ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, they have only opened the scoring in 2 of their last 28 Ligue 1 encounters, managing to hold onto the lead in just 1 of those instances. Of the 28 games played, they have conceded first on 26 occasions and have managed to turn around the score in just 3 of them.
Montpellier heads into this match on the back of a 2-0 loss to Angers. They operate with a classic 5-2-3 formation, deploying Tanguy Coulibaly, Khalil Fayad, and Nicolas Pays as their front three. In their attacking phases, they primarily focus on the left side to utilise the width provided by Théo Sainte-Lace. Unfortunately, Bamo Meo will miss this match due to suspension, along with injured players Christopher Jullien, Becir Omeragic, Enzo Tchato, Glenn Ngosso, and Nikola Maksimović.
The best prediction for Marseille vs Montpellier
Marseille wins and more than 1.5 goals
