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Wanderers vs Peñarol Prediction – Primera Division

Check out the best predictions for Wanderers vs Peñarol

Here you will find the best prediction for Wanderers vs Peñarol in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from their last matches to offer the best prediction for this encounter between Wanderers and Peñarol.

Wanderers Logo
Wanderers

  • 19 April 2025 – 21::30
  • Primera Division

  • 2025

  • APERTURE – ROUND 12

Peñarol soon
Peñarol


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Wanderers vs Peñarol

The best prediction for Wanderers vs Peñarol in the Primera Division is a victory for Peñarol. The differences in form are evident, with the visitors arriving confidently after two consecutive wins. Wanderers are still seeking greater consistency, particularly in their offensive play, while Peñarol has been taking advantage of their scoring opportunities recently. Given the current form of both teams and Peñarol’s technical strength, a win for Peñarol appears to be a solid bet for this match.

The best prediction for Wanderers vs Peñarol

Peñarol to win

Match preview: Wanderers vs Peñarol

Wanderers and Peñarol will face off at Alfredo Víctor Viera Park in a match of the 12th round of the Primera Division. Historical encounters at this venue favour the visitors, who have won 3, drawn 4, and lost only once in their last 8 meetings here. In fact, in their most recent clash at this stadium on 14th November 2024, Peñarol secured a 2-0 victory, with goals from Leonardo Fernández (18′) and Facundo Batista (10′). The home advantage could play a crucial role, especially as Peñarol tends to perform differently at home compared to away matches.

Team analysis: Wanderers

The home side currently occupies the 12th position, having amassed 8 points from 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses. In their second-to-last match, they were defeated away by Cerro (2-1), and in their last outing, they managed a goalless draw at home against Sporting. This team has maintained a consistent performance when playing away, recording 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, versus 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses at home. In their last 6 home games in the league, Wanderers won 1, drew 4, and lost 1, earning 7 points out of a possible 18.

Their recent form shows no wins in the last 5 matches played in this competition, and defensive solidity has been an issue, with goals conceded in 7 of the last 10 league games. In 10 matches, they conceded the first strike 5 times and have never managed to overturn the scoreline. Having secured only one win in the Apertura thus far highlights Wanderers’ weaknesses. Despite a couple of consecutive draws, the team has been ineffective in the final third and will need to find ways to improve if they wish to claim more victories. A compact defence and a sharp attack will be crucial to overcome Peñarol in this round.

Team analysis: Peñarol

After 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, the visiting side sits in 10th place, having acquired 12 points. In their last match, they triumphed over Danubio (0-1), following a defeat at home against Cerro Largo (0-2) prior to that. Interestingly, this team has been stronger away than at home, with 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away matches, compared to 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses on home soil. They arrive at this fixture following a home win against San Antonio Bulo Bulo (2-0). In the championship, Peñarol has earned 11 points out of 18 possible from their last 6 away games, consisting of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. However, defensive solidity is still a concern, as they have conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 10 games, they have never managed to recover from a deficit after conceding first. Notably, 8 of the 19 goals they conceded in their last 20 away matches were between the 76th and 90th minutes.

On the other hand, Peñarol is entering this round of the Apertura filled with confidence. The team has modified its approach, leading to immediate improvements on the pitch. Energised by two consecutive victories, they must manage their slight favouritism against Wanderers, who have struggled in the competition. Even away from home, there are real chances for Peñarol to return with three points in their luggage.

The best prediction for Wanderers vs Peñarol

Peñarol to win

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