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Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa Prediction – Primera Division

Check out the best predictions for Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa

Here you will find the best prediction for Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting insights.

Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including their recent performances and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa.

Alianza Lima Logo
Alianza Lima

  • 18 April 2025 – 01::00
  • Primera Division

  • 2025

  • APERTURE – ROUND 9

Santa Rosa Logo
Santa Rosa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa

The best prediction for Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa in the Primera Division is under 2.5 goals. Alianza Lima and Santa Rosa enter this match with very different objectives. The home side is keen to maintain their position at the top of the table by applying pressure from the start, while Santa Rosa aims to enhance their away performance. Considering the contrasting styles and quality, alongside the visitor’s recent instability, betting on fewer than 2.5 goals seems the most prudent choice, suggesting a controlled match with limited clear-cut chances.

The best prediction for Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky bet)

Match preview: Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa

Alianza Lima and Santa Rosa will compete at the Alejandro Villanueva stadium in the 9th round of the Primera Division. Over the last three years, there have been only two direct encounters between these teams: on 24/08/2024, Alianza Lima emerged victorious with a score of 0-1, and on 29/03/2024, they won again, this time 3-0. The home advantage may be significant in this match, as Santa Rosa has shown contrasting performances when playing at home compared to away.

Team analysis: Alianza Lima

After recording 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, the home team is currently in 4th place, having accumulated 16 points. In their last outing, they secured a 0-1 away victory against Deportivo Garcilaso. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against the university. Alianza Lima appears relatively unaffected by home advantage, boasting similar results both at home and away; their last 30 matches show 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses on the road, scoring 19 goals and conceding 18, compared to 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home, with 24 scored and 8 conceded. Within the championship, Alianza Lima claimed 10 points from a possible 12 in their last four home matches.

They remain unbeaten in their last four home matches. Their attack has been consistently effective, finding the net in 7 of their last 8 matches in this competition. Home games frequently trend towards fewer goals, as 17 of their last 24 encounters have resulted in less than 2.5 goals. Alianza Lima often opens the scoring; they managed to net the first goal in 6 of their last 8 Primera Division matches, and out of those 6, they led at half-time in 5 and maintained the advantage until the final whistle in 4. A key point in their last 19 matches across all competitions is that they conceded 4 of their 8 goals during the final 15 minutes of the match (76’–90′).

Following a hard-fought match against Deportivo Garcilaso, Alianza Lima returns to familiar territory. This could serve as an essential impetus for a squad that needs to maintain its pursuit of the top places in the Apertura table. By keeping their defence tight and capitalising on attacking opportunities, they are well-positioned to overcome Santa Rosa, who has struggled to gain momentum in the competition.

Team analysis: Santa Rosa

Currently sitting in 14th place with 7 points, the visiting team has 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew 1-1 away against Sport Boys. In their last match, they suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Sport Huancayo. Santa Rosa has been notably impacted by home advantage; they perform better when backed by their fans. Their last 30 matches show only 1 victory, alongside 6 draws and 8 defeats when playing away, with 12 goals scored and 24 conceded. Conversely, they have earned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses in home fixtures, scoring 26 goals and conceding 13. In the last 10 games as visitors, Santa Rosa has drawn 4 and lost 6. Their defence has allowed goals in 6 of their last 7 matches, indicating a lack of solidity at the back, although their attack has been relatively consistent, managing to score in 6 of their last 7 games in this competition. Many of their away matches have seen goals, with 13 of the last 15 played resulting in more than 1.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have never managed to overturn a deficit in the 7 instances where they conceded first.

inconsistency has hindered Santa Rosa’s efforts to climb the Apertura table. Close to the relegation zone, they must find a degree of consistency to improve their standings quickly. With a poor record as visitors, they head into this round needing to alter their on-pitch performance if they hope to surprise Alianza Lima, who are eager to contend for the top spot.

The best prediction for Alianza Lima vs Santa Rosa

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky bet)

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