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Derby vs Luton Prediction – Championship
Check out the best predictions for Derby vs Luton
Here you find the top prediction for Derby vs Luton in the Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for Derby vs Luton.
 Derby |
|  Luton |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Derby vs Luton
The best prediction for the Championship match between Derby vs Luton is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. Both teams are expected to have a relatively balanced meeting, and they have demonstrated solid defensive formations, allowing the opposition to create very few goal-scoring opportunities. Notably, the “less than 2.5 goals” market has been successful in 67% of Derby’s home games.
The best prediction for Derby vs Luton
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
Match preview: Derby vs Luton
Derby and Luton will face each other at Pride Park Stadium in the 43rd round of the Championship. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on 20 December 2024, Luton Town emerged victorious at home with a score of 2-1. The recent head-to-head record favours the visiting side, who have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 direct confrontations. It’s essential to take into account the home/away form, as both teams have shown significantly different results at home compared to away.
Team analysis: Derby
After achieving 11 wins, 10 draws, and 21 losses, the home team currently sits in 21st position with 42 points. In their last match, they drew against Portsmouth away (2-2), following another draw at home against Burnley (0-0). Derby is notably stronger when playing at home; they have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 away games, whereas at home, they’ve secured 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. In their last 10 home games in the Championship, Derby has managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, earning 11 points from a possible 30. The most common half-time score at home in Championship matches has been 0-0 (8 in 21 games). Defensive stability has not been a hallmark for Derby, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 outings. Interestingly, 14 of their last 21 competitive home matches have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. This season, in 42 Championship matches, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have failed to recover on all those occasions.
Derby County heads into this fixture following a 2-2 draw against Portsmouth, with goals from Jerry Yates and Rob Atkinson (own goal). The team typically employs a 3-4-3 tactical system, favouring rapid transitions and exploiting the flanks for attacking opportunities. Key players include Nathaniel Méndez-Laing, Marcus Harness, and Jerry Yates, with midfielder Ebou Adams playing a pivotal role in orchestrating offensive plays. Missing this match will be Callum Elder, Ryan Nyambe, Ben Osborn, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, David Ozoh, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Dajaune Brown, and Curtis Nelson, all due to injury.
Team analysis: Luton
After 10 wins, 10 draws, and 22 losses, the away team is positioned 23rd with 40 points. They suffered a loss at home against Blackburn Rovers (0-1) in their last match, and the match prior ended in a draw against Stoke City (1-1). Luton has been adversely affected by playing away from home; their record shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses in their last 30 away games, with a total of 11 goals scored and 30 conceded. Conversely, their home record stands at 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, having scored 11 goals and conceded just 10 goals. In the Championship, Luton has garnered 8 points from a possible 30, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 away encounters. Defensively, they have been breached in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition, indicating some deficiencies at the back. In 42 Championship matches, Luton conceded the first goal 23 times and managed to overturn the result on just 4 occasions.
Luton Town approaches this encounter following a 0-1 loss at home to Blackburn Rovers. The visiting side favours a 5-3-2 tactical system, emphasising quick transitions, particularly along the flanks. Up front, Carlton Morris is one of the main threats, tasked with unbalancing the opposing defence. In attack, they tend to exploit the left flank, where Millenic Alli shines with his overlapping runs and crossing ability. Injuries will sideline Alfie Doughty, Elijah Adebayo, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown, and Shandon Baptiste for this match.
The best prediction for Derby vs Luton
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
