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Santos vs Atlético-MG Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Santos vs Atlético-MG

Here you will find the best prediction for Santos vs Atlético-MG concerning Brasileirão Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Santos vs Atlético-MG.

Santos Logo
Santos

  • 16 April 2025 – 00::30
  • Brasileirão Series A

  • 2025
  • Normal Time – Round 4
Atletico-MG logo
Atlético-MG


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santos vs Atlético-MG

The best prediction for Santos vs Atlético-MG in the Brasileirão is to bet on under 2.5 goals. This matchup is expected to be closely contested with few clear chances, reflecting the struggles of both teams as they sit near the bottom of the table with limited attacking prowess. Given the current form and statistical trends, this bet appears favourable, as the match may witness a tightly fought contest with restricted scoring opportunities.

The best prediction for Santos vs Atlético-MG

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

Match preview: Santos vs Atlético-MG

Santos and Atlético-MG face off at the Urbano Caldeira Stadium, in the 4th round of Brasileirão Serie A. Historically, the home team has had better success in direct confrontations here, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 4 encounters. Nevertheless, the most recent meeting at this venue occurred on 23‑04-2023, which ended in a 0‑0 draw. The home advantage may prove significant, as there are notable disparities in the performance of both teams when playing at home versus away.

Team analysis: Santos

The home side currently occupies 17th place, having amassed just 1 point from 1 draw and 2 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew 2-2 at home against Bahia, followed by a 1-0 defeat away to Fluminense. Santos traditionally performs better at home, with their last 30 games showcasing 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses away, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded, contrasted with a record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home, scoring 28 and conceding 14. In their last 10 home matches, Santos has delivered 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 encounters, although they have managed to turn the match in their favour only once when conceding first in 6 games.

Santos arrives at this fixture in a precarious position within the league. With only one point acquired from three matches, they remain winless and languishing at the bottom of the table. The team has struggled with both offensive and defensive organisation, resulting in a negative goal difference. Competing at home, they will look to harness the support of their fans as motivation to secure their first victory and initiate a recovery in the league.

Team analysis: Atlético-MG

The visiting side currently finds itself in 18th position, having garnered just 1 point through 2 draws and a loss. In their previous match, they drew 0-0 at home to São Paulo, followed by a 2-2 draw with Vitória. This team tends to perform better at home, with their record over the last 30 games showing 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses away compared to 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses at home. Their last away match in this competition ended in a 2-1 defeat against Grêmio. In their last 10 away games, Atlético-MG has achieved 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Their attack has also been reliable, managing to score in 7 of their last 10 fixtures. Notably, in the last 20 matches across all competitions, they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, although they conceded 6 of their 16 goals within the 31st to 45th minutes.

Atlético-MG is also navigating through a challenging phase. With only two points from three matches, the club finds itself at the lower end of the standings, just above Santos. Despite scoring slightly more than their rivals, their overall performances remain below expectations, with a draw and a loss. The squad is eager to deliver a more consistent performance to secure their first three points and alleviate the growing pressure ahead of future fixtures.

The best prediction for Santos vs Atlético-MG

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

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