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Benfica vs Arouca Prediction – Primeira Liga

Check out the best predictions for Benfica vs Arouca

Here you find the best prediction for Benfica vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga, as well as match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from past matches, to provide the best prediction for this match between Benfica and Arouca.

Benfica soon
Benfica

  • 13 April 2025 – 17::00
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2024/2025
  • Normal Time – Round 29
Arouca soon
Arouca


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Benfica and Arouca

The best prediction for Benfica vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga is a victory for Benfica. The team boasts a highly effective attack, consistently performing well whether fielding their strongest eleven or replacing players from the bench, who have also delivered commendable performances. Winter reinforcements have bolstered the squad, offering manager Bruno Lage better options for managing player stamina. Considering that many first-team players were rested in their last match against Tirsense, we can expect a refreshed Benfica side, well-equipped to find the back of the net and likely to secure a win in this encounter.

The best prediction for Benfica vs Arouca

Benfica wins and more than 2.5 goals

Match preview: Benfica vs Arouca

Benfica and Arouca will meet at the Estádio da Luz for the 29th round of the Primeira Liga. The last encounter between these sides in this competition took place on 01‑12‑2024, where Benfica came out victorious with a score of (0‑2). Historically, home advantage has favoured Benfica, as they have won all of their last three encounters at this venue. Indeed, in their most recent fixture at home against Arouca, they triumphed (5‑0) on 12‑05‑2024, with goals coming from Rafa (42′ and 46′), Casper Tengtedt (58′), Ángel di María (25′) and Orkun Kökçü (32′). The home advantage may prove pivotal in this match, especially as Arouca tends to show varied performances when playing at home compared to their away games.

Team analysis: Benfica

Sitting at the top of the league with 68 points from 22 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, Benfica are in outstanding form. Their last match ended in a resounding 1-4 victory over Porto, following a previous victory at home against Farense (3-2). The team maintains consistent performances both at home and away, having secured 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors as well as 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at home. Benfica comes into this clash after a commanding 0‑5 victory against Tirsense. In the league, they have amassed 27 points out of a possible 30, with 9 wins and 1 loss across their last ten games played at home. Their attack is known for its regularity, scoring at least once in their last ten league matches, and there is a noticeable trend for high-scoring games at home, with 12 out of 14 matches ending with more than 2.5 goals. Benfica typically opens the scoring easily, having netted first in 21 of their last 28 league games, reaching half-time in the lead on 16 occasions and managing to maintain that advantage to win 19 times. Out of 28 matches in this competition, they have managed to turn the score around in 3 of the 7 instances they conceded first.

Recently, Benfica have taken the lead in the Portuguese League after spending a significant amount of time in second place. Bruno Lage’s side has exploited a downturn in performance from rivals Sporting to close the gap, often matching their points tally. In the last round, the Eagles were able to capitalise on a draw for the Lions against Sporting Braga, taking a 2-point lead, which they aim to preserve, particularly ahead of their crucial encounter against Sporting in the penultimate round. As they host Arouca, the last thing on the minds of the home fans is dropping any points in this fixture.

Team analysis: Arouca

Arouca currently resides in 12th position, having garnered 29 points from 7 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses. Their most recent encounter resulted in a 1-2 defeat against Famalicão at home, following a prior loss against Sporting Braga (1-2) when playing away. Notably, Arouca has superior away results compared to their home games; over the last 30 matches, they have secured 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 21 goals while conceding 25. Home results, in contrast, show 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, where they netted 12 goals and conceded 20. Arouca has earned 12 points from the last 10 matches away, with stats indicating they have conceded goals in 8 of these encounters, highlighting a lack of defensive solidity. However, they have managed to score regularly, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 league games. Their away fixtures generally tend to be high-scoring, with 10 of their last 14 matches in the league ending with over 2.5 goals. Arouca has struggled to turn around matches when conceding first, failing to do so in all 13 games where they found themselves behind.

The recent performances of Arouca have waned, especially evident over the last three rounds. Under the management of Vasco Seabra, Arouca was enjoying a promising run and showcased some of the better football in the league. Nevertheless, disappointing home results, first against Estoril (1-1) and then the defeat to Famalicão (1-2), have left them precariously close to the relegation zone with just a 6-point buffer. They are in urgent need of a response, but now travel to the Estádio da Luz to face a team in excellent form. In their last visit to this stadium, Arouca suffered a heavy defeat (5-0).

Best predictions for this match

Benfica wins and more than 2.5 goals

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