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Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

Here you will find the best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel for the Bundesliga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel.

Mainz 05 Logo
Mainz 05

  • 05 April 2025 – 13::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2024/2025
  • Normal Time – Round 28
Holstein Kiel Logo
Holstein Kiel


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

The best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel in the Bundesliga is a victory for Mainz 05. The home team benefits from the strong backing of their fans and faces an opponent experiencing an inconsistent streak. Notably, Mainz has won six of their last eight home games in the league. Thus, it is expected that Mainz 05 will showcase their favouritism and secure all three points from this match.

The best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

Mainz 05 wins or the match ends in a draw nullifies the bet

Match preview: Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

Mainz 05 and Holstein Kiel face each other in a match for the 28th round of the Bundesliga. The last encounter between these teams took place on 24th November 2024, which saw FSV Mainz 05 triumph 0–3 away. In this instance, the home advantage may be decisive, as both teams have shown marked differences in their results at home and away.

Team analysis: Mainz 05

After securing 13 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, the home team currently sits in 4th position with 45 points. In their most recent match, they suffered a 3-1 defeat to Borussia Dortmund, following a home draw against SC Freiburg (2-2) in the previous fixture. Interestingly, Mainz has performed better away than at home recently, recording 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses on home soil. In their last 10 league games at home, Mainz 05 has achieved 6 victories, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat, gaining 21 points from a possible 30.

The team remains unbeaten in their last 9 home matches in the league. Their attack has been effective, scoring in 8 of the last 10 league games. Games at home tend to have fewer goals, as seen in 9 of the last 13 matches where less than 3 goals were scored. In 27 league matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and only managed to turn the score around once.

Mainz 05 comes into this match following a 3-1 defeat to Borussia Dortmund, ending a six-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga. The team’s solitary goal in that match was netted by Paul Nebel. Typically, the home team employs a 3-4-3 formation, with Jae-Sung Lee, Jonathan Burkardt, and Paul Nebel occupying the attacking roles. Their assaults often originate from the right flank, with defender Anthony Caci providing essential width. Dominik Kohr is suspended for this match, alongside Stefan Bell, who is suffering from physical issues.

Team analysis: Holstein Kiel

The visiting team currently sits in 18th place with 17 points, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 18 losses. In their second-to-last match, they lost 3-1 away to Heidenheim and followed that with a home defeat to Werder Bremen (0-3). Holstein Kiel struggles significantly when playing away, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses in their last 30 matchups as visitors, scoring 22 goals and conceding 37 in total. At home, their performance is slightly better, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 25 goals and conceding 34. In the league, Holstein Kiel has managed just 4 points from the last possible 30, with 1 victory, 1 draw, and 8 losses in their most recent 10 away games. Defensive frailties have been evident, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games, although their attack is somewhat reliable, having scored in 8 of those 10 matches. Away from home, 12 of their last 13 league matches have ended with over 2.5 goals. This team frequently fails to score first, only managing to lead in 5 of their last 27 Bundesliga matches, winning 3 of those after leading at halftime. In 27 matches played, they have only made a comeback once in the 22 instances they conceded first. Notably, 10 of their 20 goals scored in their last 13 away games occurred in the 76th to 90th minutes.

Holstein Kiel comes into this clash with a 0-3 defeat against Werder Bremen, marking their third consecutive match without a win in the Bundesliga. The visitors typically set up in a traditional 3-5-2 formation, favouring a dynamic style of play that progresses particularly through the flanks. Steven Skrzybski and Shuto Machino are vital in creating threats towards the opposing goal. Patrick Miss, Ivan Nekic, Colin Kleine-Bekel, and Andu Klatei are all unavailable for this match due to fitness issues.

The best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

Mainz 05 wins or the match ends in a draw nullifies the bet

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