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Progreso vs River Plate Prediction – Primera Division

Check out the best predictions for Progresso vs River Plate

Here you will find the best prediction for PROGRESSO vs RIVER PLATE in the top division, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Below is our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Progresso vs River Plate.

Progress
Progress

  • 23 March 2025 – 19::00
  • Primera Division

  • 2025

  • APERTURE – ROUND 7

River Plate Logo
River Plate


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Progresso vs River Plate

The best prediction for Progresso vs River Plate in the Primera Division is under 2.5 goals. The confrontation between Progresso and River Plate is expected to be tight, with both teams aiming for a defensively solid performance. The match is likely to be a more fragmented contest, resulting in few clear-cut chances over the full 90 minutes. Given this prediction, a wager on under 2.5 goals stands out as a sensible option.

Match preview: Progresso vs River Plate

Progresso and River Plate are set to clash at Abraham Paladino Park for the seventh round of the Primera Division. The historical record at this venue favours the home side, who have secured 2 victories and suffered 1 defeat in their last 3 encounters here. The latest meeting between these teams at this location took place on 9th June 2024, ending in a narrow 1-0 triumph for Progresso, with Nicolás Fernández netting the solitary goal of the match in the 14th minute. In this fixture, the home advantage could play a crucial role, as both teams display notable discrepancies in their results when playing at home versus away.

Team analysis: Progresso

The home side currently sits in 15th place, having amassed just 1 point from 1 draw and 3 defeats. In their penultimate match, they suffered a heavy home loss to Nacional (1-5), while in their last outing, they drew with Danubio (1-1). Progresso tends to perform better on home soil, with their last 30 matches featuring 5 draws and 10 defeats as visitors compared to 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats at home. In their last 10 home fixtures, Progresso has secured only 1 victory, along with 4 draws and 5 losses.

In this competition, they have gone 4 matches without a win. Their defensive frailty has been evident, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 4 matches, whilst their attack has managed to score consistently, finding the net in each of their last 4 games within this competition. Of their 15 matches, they have never managed to overturn the score in the 9 encounters where they conceded the first goal. Interestingly, in their last 14 home games across all competitions, they scored 4 of their 11 goals in the final minutes (76’–90’).

Progresso approaches this fixture under pressure. They remain winless and have displayed worrying defensive shortcomings. The team must rectify their marking errors and enhance their cohesion to avoid conceding goals easily. When playing at home, securing a positive result becomes increasingly vital, necessitating more effective offensive transitions. The key challenge will be to find a balance between the need to attack without compromising their defensive integrity, which has been a recurring issue. Faced with an opponent also struggling, Progresso sees this match as a potential opportunity for recovery.

Team analysis: River Plate

The visiting team is currently positioned in 12th place, having garnered 2 points from 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they fell to Torque away (2-1), while in their most recent match, they drew at home against Peñarol (1-1). Curiously, this team has shown better form on the road than at home; over the last 30 matches, they have achieved 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 defeats as away players, while at home they have recorded 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. In their last 10 away matches, River Plate managed 3 wins, drew 1, and lost 6.

This competition has yet to yield a win for River Plate in their last 4 games. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding goals consistently in their last 4 matches, although their attack has been somewhat productive, scoring in 3 of the last 4 games in this competition. Of their 15 matches disputing, they have never come back to win in the 9 occasions they conceded first. Furthermore, in their previous 20 games in all competitions, it is notable that 6 of their 16 goals were scored between the 76th and 90th minutes.

River Plate, like their opponents, finds themselves without a victory and is in need of a response to lift themselves from the foot of the table. The team has encountered challenges in creating effective plays, limiting their scoring opportunities and affecting their results. To secure a good outcome, it will be crucial for them to enhance their offensive efficiency and make better use of the chances they do create. Despite their current struggles, River Plate can exploit the defensive frailties of Progresso, taking advantage of any spaces left open. By achieving a better balance between defence and attack, they stand a chance of emerging from the match with a positive result.

The best prediction for Progresso vs River Plate

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

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