👉 What is the recommended bet for Alavés vs Real Sociedad?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Alavés vs Real Sociedad, on February 4, 2026, is: Over 1.5 goals → bet available at Bet365.

👉 What stadium will the Alavés vs Real Sociedad match be played?

The Alavés vs Real Sociedad match on February 4, 2026, will be played in Gasteiz, Estadio de Mendizorroza.

👉 What is the most popular bet for this game?

The most popular bet among tipsters for the Alavés vs Real Sociedad match in the "odds" market was the draw at Bet365 with 50% of tips.

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Alavés vs Real Sociedad Prediction – King’s Cup

February 4, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Alavés vs Real Sociedad

Here you will find the best prediction for Alavés vs Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Alavés and Real Sociedad.

Alavés

February 4, 2026 – 20::00
Copa del Rey
2025/2026
Quarter-finals

Real Sociedad

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Alavés vs Real Sociedad

The best prediction for Alavés vs Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey is over 1.5 goals. Although Real Sociedad is expected to control much of the game, Deportivo Alavés has been showcasing good football, consistently creating dangerous opportunities. Therefore, an open and dynamic match is anticipated, where both teams will generate various chances to score.

Best prediction for Alavés vs Real Sociedad

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)

Match prediction for Alavés vs Real Sociedad

The teams Alavés and Real Sociedad will clash at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in a match for the Copa del Rey (Quarter-finals). Historically, the home team has the advantage in head-to-head matchups, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. The last encounter at this stadium was on December 6, 2025, in a La Liga game that ended with Deportivo Alavés winning (1-0). The only goal of the match was scored by Lucas Boyé (45′). In this match, the home advantage could play a crucial role, as Alavés shows significant differences in results when playing at home versus away.

Alavés Analysis

The home team enters this stage of the Copa del Rey (Quarter-finals) following a home victory (2-0) against Rayo Vallecano. The team is significantly impacted by playing at home, performing better in front of their supporters, as their last 30 matches record shows 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses as visitors, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home, with 19 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last game, they won against Espanyol away (1-2). Over their last 10 home games, Alavés has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses.

In this competition, they have a streak of 4 consecutive wins. The team has displayed great defensive solidity, not having conceded a goal in their last 4 matches, while their attack has consistently scored at least one goal in their last 4 games in this competition. Their home matches tend to have few goals, as 11 of their last 22 matches ended with less than 1.5 goals, and 16 out of 22 ended with less than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 8 times and only managed to come from behind to win once.

Deportivo Alavés arrives for this match with a victory, having won 1-2 away against Espanyol, in a match that counts for La Liga. It is noteworthy that the hosts reached this stage of the Copa del Rey after eliminating Rayo Vallecano in the previous match. Under the management of Eduardo Coudet, the home team tends to line up in a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on dynamic football, quick transitions, and great mobility in the attacking sector. Up front, the duo of Lucas Boyé and Toni Martínez has been effective, combining speed, technique, and finishing. The right flank is particularly active, with full-back Jonny Otto often appearing in advanced areas, functioning almost as a winger, ensuring depth and width in the attacking process. All players are available for this match.

Real Sociedad Analysis

The visiting team reaches this stage of the Copa del Rey (Quarter-finals) after a home win (4-3) in a penalty shootout against Osasuna. This team is minimally affected by the home factor, showing similar results at home and away, as their last 30 matches show 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 19 goals and conceding 17. At home, they achieved 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. The team enters this match after drawing away against Athletic Bilbao (1-1). In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Real Sociedad has won 5, drawn 4, and lost 1.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 4 matches. Their attack has consistently found the net, scoring at least one goal in their last 4 games in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend for goals, as 23 of their last 26 matches ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 15 matches, they managed to come from behind in 2 of the 6 games in which they conceded the first goal. There is a specific period highlighted in their last 15 away matches across all competitions: they scored 8 of their 19 goals between the minutes (76′-90′).

Real Sociedad arrives for this match with a draw, after a 1-1 result away against Athletic Bilbao, where the only goal for the team was scored by Luis Rioja. It is important to note that the visitors reached this stage of the Copa del Rey after eliminating Osasuna in the previous match. Led by Pellegrino Matarazzo, the visiting team remains true to its usual 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing fast football, rapid transitions, and strong wing presence. In attack, the trio of Gonçalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Ander Barrenetxea stands out for their speed and ability to destabilize, promising to cause problems for the opposing defense. The right side of their attack has been one of the team’s main offensive weapons, with full-back Jon Aramburua frequently moving into advanced areas of the field. Takefusa Kubo will miss this match due to physical issues.