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Lorient vs Paris Prediction – French Cup

Check out the best predictions for Lorient x Paris

Here you will find the best prediction for Lorient x Paris in the French Cup, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Lorient and Paris.

Lorient logo
Lorient

  • February 4, 2026 – 19::30
  • French Cup

  • 2025/2026
  • Round of 16
Paris logo
Paris


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lorient x Paris

The best prediction for the Lorient x Paris match in the French Cup is that Paris FC will not win. In addition to the home team playing with the massive support of their fans, they face an opponent with an inferior squad. It is worth highlighting that Lorient is enjoying a significant confidence boost, having won their last four matches. Therefore, it is expected that the home team will take the field with a clear objective and at least secure a draw.

Best prediction for Lorient x Paris

Draw cancels bet: Lorient

Match prediction for Lorient x Paris

The teams Lorient and Paris face off at Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir in a match for the French Cup (Round of 16). The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which has 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. The last direct matchup between these two teams, on October 3, 2025, saw Paris winning (2-0). In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as Lorient shows significant differences in results achieved at home versus as a visitor.

Lorient Analysis

To reach this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16), the home team eliminated Hauts Lyonnais and AS Gosier. This team performs better when playing at their stadium, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, compared to 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss at home. In their last match, they won against Nantes at home (2-1). In their last 10 home games, Lorient has 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Their attack has been scoring regularly, netting goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. In their home games, there is a trend for goals, as 15 of their last 17 matches ended with more than 1.5 goals, and 12 out of 17 ended with more than 2.5 goals. Out of 15 games, they conceded the first goal 6 times but managed to turn the score around in 2 instances. In their last 17 home games across all competitions, they have a notable period: they conceded 8 of their 20 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Entering this match, Lorient arrives with a victory, 2-1, against Nantes in a Ligue 1 match. It is worth noting that the home team reaches this stage of the French Cup after eliminating Hauts Lyonnais in the previous round. The home team tends to align in a tactical system of 3-4-3, with Pablo Pagis, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng, and Jean-Victor Makengo taking on key offensive roles. It is important to highlight that the player responsible for organizing the offensive sector is midfielder Laurent Abergel. When pushing forward, they usually do so down the left flank, utilizing the depth provided by left-back Arsène Kouassi. The following players are out of this match due to physical issues: Aiyegun Tosin, Darlin Yongwa, Panos Katseris, and Abdoulaye Faye.

Paris Analysis

To reach this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16), the visiting team eliminated Paris Saint Germain and Raon l’Etape. This team maintains its performance when playing away from home, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away games, compared to 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses at home. The team arrives in this match after a home draw with Olympique Marseille (2-2). In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Paris has won 5, drawn 2, and lost 3. Their attack has scored regularly, having found the back of the net in 7 of their last 10 matches. In 15 games, they have never managed to overturn a deficit in the 7 matches where they conceded the first goal.

The Paris FC enters this match with a 2-2 draw against Marseille, in a Ligue 1 match. It is also worth noting that the visitors reach this stage of the French Cup after eliminating the mighty PSG in the previous stage. The Parisian team usually aligns in a tactical system of 5-2-3, with Jean-Philippe Krasso, Moses Simon, and Ilan Kebbal taking on key offensive responsibilities. In midfield, the offensive play is organized by Maxime López, a key player in the creation and distribution of play. When they attack, they usually exploit the left flank, using the depth provided by full-back Nhoa Sangui. The following players are unavailable for this match due to injuries: Pierre-Yves Hamel, Thibault De Smet, Pierre Lees-Melou, Samir Chergui, and Rudy Matondo.

Best prediction for Lorient x Paris

Draw cancels bet: Lorient

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