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Equidad vs Dep. Tolima Prediction – First Division

Check out the best predictions for Equidad x Dep. Tolima

Here you will find the best prediction for Equidad x Dep. Tolima in the Primera División, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Equidad x Dep. Tolima.

Equidad logo
Equidad

  • February 2, 2026 – 23::20
  • Primera División

  • 2026
  • Apertura – Round 4
Dep. Tolima logo
Dep. Tolima


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Equidad x Dep. Tolima

The best prediction for
Palpite Equidad x Dep. Tolima in the Primera División is to bet on less than 2.5 goals. The home team will attempt to use their home advantage to control the match. Tolima could be dangerous on the attack, but the defensive balance of their opponent should limit the number of goals.

Best prediction for Equidad x Dep. Tolima

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

Match prediction for Equidad x Dep. Tolima

The teams Equidad and Dep. Tolima play at the Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in a match of the 4th round of the Primera División. In this stadium, the record of head-to-head encounters indicates a balance between these two teams, with 4 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 6 matches. However, the last time they faced each other in this stadium was on October 21, 2025, in a Primera División match that ended with Deportes Tolima winning (0-2). The goals of the match were scored by Jersson González (59′ and 25′) for Dep. Tolima. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as both teams exhibit significant differences in their home and away results.

Equidad Analysis

After 2 wins and 1 loss, the home team is in 4th place, having earned 6 points. In their last match, they won against Jaguares de Córdoba away (2-3), after winning at home against Cúcuta Deportivo (2-1) in the previous game. This is a team affected by home factors, stronger when playing in front of their supporters, as in the last 30 matches they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses as visitors, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded, compared to 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses at home, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. Equidad has won 5, drawn 1, and lost 4 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating that defensive processes need improvement.

La Equidad started the Colombian Championship with a stumble, but quickly responded by winning in the following two rounds. The team is on a positive trend, confident, and aware of the importance of leveraging their home advantage. Playing at home, the goal is to maintain their good recent performance and achieve another positive result. Their collective performance has improved, showing a better balance between defense and attack. Nonetheless, the matchup is expected to be challenging, requiring focus throughout the ninety minutes. If they can impose their rhythm and control the game’s moments, La Equidad has a good chance of winning.

Dep. Tolima Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 2nd place, with 7 points earned from 2 wins and 1 draw. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Alianza Petrolera (2-0). In their last match, they drew away against Independiente Medellín (2-2). Interestingly, this is a team that has shown more positive results away than at home, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses as visitors with a total of 16 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home, they have achieved 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 22 goals and conceding 12. In their last 10 away matches, Dep. Tolima has won 7, drawn 2, and lost 1. In 15 matches, they conceded the first goal 4 times and only managed 1 comeback in the score. There are 1 highlighted periods in the last 14 matches played away in all competitions: they conceded 5 of their 10 goals between the minutes (31′-45′).

Tolima is starting the championship consistently and remains unbeaten, demonstrating regularity and competitiveness. The team enters the field aiming for the upper part of the table and knows that a good result away could bring them closer to the top spot. The current moment is positive, with solid performances and a secure demeanor even away from home. The strategy should be founded on organization, patience, and taking advantage of the created opportunities. The expectation is for a balanced duel, with few concessions. If they maintain their performance so far, Tolima is capable of surprising.

Best prediction for Equidad x Dep. Tolima

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

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