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Millonarios vs Medellín Prediction – First Division

Check out the best predictions for Millonarios vs Medellín

Here you will find the best prediction for Millonarios vs Medellín in the Primera División, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics to provide the best prediction for this match between Millonarios vs Medellín.

Millonarios logo
Millonarios

  • February 1, 2026 – 01::30
  • Primera División

  • 2026
  • Apertura – Round 4
Medellín logo
Medellín


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Millonarios vs Medellín

The best prediction for the Millonarios vs Medellín in the Primera División is that both teams will score. Millonarios is expected to leverage their home advantage to control the game tempo, while Medellín will look for space to create chances. The match should see goals from both sides, making the bet on both teams scoring attractive.

Best prediction for Millonarios vs Medellín

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Do both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Millonarios vs Medellín

The teams Millonarios and Medellín face off at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín in a match of the 4th round of the Primera División. The head-to-head history in this stadium favors the home team, which has won 5, drawn 1, and lost 2 of the last 8 matches played here. However, in the last encounter at this stadium, for the Primera División, on February 16, 2025, Independiente Medellín won 1-0. Leyser Chaverra scored the only goal of the match. Special attention must be paid to home/away performance as Millonarios shows different results at home and away.

Analysis of Millonarios

After 3 losses, the home team stands at 20th position without any points. In their last match, they lost away to Deportivo Pasto, 2-1, after previously losing at home to Junior FC, 1-2. This is a stronger team when they play at home, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors in their last 30 games; compared to 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last 10 home games, Millonarios has 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss. The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating that their defense needs improvement, but their attack has scored regularly, managing to hit the net in 7 of the last 10 games. Out of 15 games, they conceded the first goal 5 times and were never able to turn the score around.

Millonarios has made a very poor start in the Colombian Championship, having lost all matches played so far. The team enters the field under pressure as they seek their first victory in the competition. Playing at home, the local factor arises as a positive point to try to bounce back. However, the team needs to correct mistakes and show more consistency. The trend is for a more cautious performance, aiming to regain confidence.

Analysis of Medellín

The visiting team currently sits in 17th place with 1 point, after 1 draw and 2 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Deportivo Cali, 3-1. In their last match, they drew at home against Deportes Tolima, 2-2. This team maintains its performance when playing away from home, recording 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches; compared to 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses at home. In their last 10 away games, Medellín has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 6. The team allowed goals to the opponents in 9 of the last 10 matches, indicating a need for defensive improvement, although their attack has been scoring consistently, with success in 7 of the last 10 matches. When playing away, there is a trend for low-scoring games, as 15 of the last 34 finished with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 7 times and never managed to turn the score around. In the last 11 away games across all competitions, a notable period is when they scored 5 of their 14 goals between the minutes (76’-90’).

Independiente Medellín is also experiencing a challenging start to the championship, with only one point accumulated so far. The instability shown on the field has affected their results. Similar to their opponent, the main goal is to secure their first victory. Playing away, the team knows they must be more organized. The prediction suggests a balanced match, but with a technical level below the ideal.

Best prediction for Millonarios vs Medellín

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Do both teams score? Yes

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