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Toulouse vs Auxerre Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Toulouse vs Auxerre

Here you will find the best prediction for Toulouse vs Auxerre in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head results and key statistics from their latest matches to provide the best prediction for this Toulouse vs Auxerre fixture.

Toulouse logo
Toulouse

  • February 1, 2026 – 16::15
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Auxerre logo
Auxerre


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Toulouse vs Auxerre

The best prediction for Toulouse vs Auxerre in the Ligue 1 is that there will be over 2.5 goals. Although the match is expected to be dominated by the hosts, Toulouse has shown some vulnerabilities, particularly in defense, which Auxerre could exploit. Therefore, it is anticipated that both teams will provide an exciting spectacle with opportunities on both sides.

Best prediction for Toulouse vs Auxerre

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Toulouse vs Auxerre

The teams Toulouse and Auxerre play at the Stadium of Toulouse, in a match for the 20th round of Ligue 1. Auxerre won at home by (1-0) the last time they faced off in this league edition, on September 21, 2025. The history of head-to-head matches played at this stadium favors the home team, who has won 2 and drawn 1 of the last 3 encounters. Indeed, in the latest confrontation at this stadium for Ligue 1 on December 1, 2024, Toulouse won by (2-0). The goals for Toulouse were scored by Joshua King (32′) and V. Sierro (39′). It is necessary to analyze the home/away conditions carefully because Toulouse shows different results at home and away.

Toulouse Analysis

The home team is currently in 8th place, with 29 points accumulated, after 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. In their second-to-last match, they won at home against Nice by (5-1). In the last match, they won away against Brest by (0-2). Interestingly, this is a team that performs better away than at home, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses as a visitor in their last 30 matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 15, compared to 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses at home, scoring 24 goals and conceding 20. In the league, Toulouse has earned 15 points out of 30 possible after 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 games played at home. In league matches at their stadium, the most common score at the end of the first 45 minutes has been 0-0, which occurred in 4 of their 10 games. Their attack has been fairly consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. In 19 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and managed to turn the score around only once.

Toulouse comes into this match with a victory, winning 0-2 in their trip to Brest Stadium: the goals for the team were scored by Yann Gboho and Pape Diop. The team, led by Carles Martínez, usually operates in a tactical system of 3-4-3, favoring slower, well-crafted transitions, mainly through the central corridor. In this scheme, the three players responsible for creating chaos in the opponent’s defense are Aron Dønnum, Frank Magri, and Yann Gboho. When moving into the offensive phase, they typically utilize the right wing, taking advantage of the depth provided by Rafik Messali. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Guillaume Restes, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie, Djibril Sidibé, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Pape Demba Diop, Aron Dønnum, Cristian Cásseres Jr., Rafik Messali, Santiago Hidalgo, Yann Gboho.
Manager: C. Martínez Novell.

Auxerre Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 17th place, with 12 points, after 3 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses. In their second-to-last match, they lost away to Lens by (1-0). In the last match, they lost at home to Paris Saint-Germain by (0-1). This is a team that tends to perform the same when playing away from their stadium, as they recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses as a visitor in their last 30 games, compared to 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses at home. In the last 9 away league games, Auxerre has 2 draws and 7 losses, having earned only 2 points from 27 possible.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 9 away matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games, and their attack has not been very effective, having failed to score in 7 of their last 10 league matches. In their away matches in this competition, there is a tendency for few goals, as 6 of their last 9 matches have had fewer than 3 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first and has only managed to take the lead in 4 of their last 19 matches in Ligue 1; of those, they were ahead at halftime in 2 and secured victory in 3 of the 90 minutes. In 19 matches in this competition, they have never managed to overturn the score in the 14 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Auxerre comes into this match after a defeat, losing 0-1 to PSG, marking their fourth consecutive loss in Ligue 1. The visiting team usually employs a tactical system of 3-4-3, favoring quicker transitions, especially through the wings. In this setup, the three players causing panic in the opposing defense are Danny Namaso, Naouirou Ahamada, and Lassine Sinayoko. When moving into the offensive phase, they typically do so through the right wing, using the depth provided by Lamine Sy. Nathan Buayi-Kiala will not be available for this match due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Donovan Léon, Clément Akpa, Sinaly Diomandé, Gideon Mensah, Lamine Sy, Naouirou Ahamada, Kévin Danois, Oussama El Azzouzi, Danny Namaso, Lassine Sinayoko, Josué Casimir.
Manager: J. Furlan.

Best prediction for Toulouse vs Auxerre

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

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