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Comerciantes vs UCV Moquegua Prediction – First Division

Check out the best prediction for Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua

Here you will find the best prediction for Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua in the First Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their latest games to provide the best prediction for this match between Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua.

Comerciantes logo
Comerciantes

  • February 2, 2026 – 20::00
  • First Division

  • 2026
  • Apertura – Round 1
UCV Moquegua logo
UCV Moquegua


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua

The best prediction for
Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua in the First Division is betting on under 2.5 goals. The match kicks off with a balanced contest and typically few chances on goal in the early minutes. The pace of the first round is often cautious, with both teams assessing each other and their strategies. Therefore, betting on fewer than 2.5 goals appears to be the most suitable for this duel, considering the game is likely to start with a studied approach and limited scoring opportunities.

Best prediction for Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua

The teams Comerciantes and UCV Moquegua are playing at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in a match of the First Division (Apertura). According to our data, there are no recent records of matches between the two teams. In this match, the home factor may play a decisive role, as UCV Moquegua has shown differences in performance in home and away games.

Analysis of Comerciantes

The home team is debuting this season after finishing the last one in 7th place. This is a team that maintains its performance even when playing away from home, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses in the last 30 games as visitors; against 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at home. In their last match, in Club friendlies, they lost to UTC Cajamarca at home by (0-1). In their last 10 home games, Comerciantes has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. Their attack has been scoring regularly, managing to find the net in 7 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 7 times and only managed to turn the score around twice.

Comerciantes starts the Peruvian Championship with the hope of making a strong showing, especially since they are playing at home. The team’s goal is to have a smooth season, and they are aware that dropping points in this type of match should be avoided. Even though it is the first round, the responsibility for a good result is significant. The team is still looking for better cohesion at this early stage of the competition. Their approach should focus on controlling the game and being efficient.

Analysis of UCV Moquegua

The visiting team has been promoted from the previous season, coming into this match with high expectations and ambition. They are stronger when playing at home, having 2 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses away in the last 30 games; versus 12 wins and 3 draws at home. In their last match, in Club friendlies, they lost to Melgar away by (2-0). In their last 10 matches as visitors, UCV Moquegua has won 1, drawn 6, and lost 3. The team has conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games, indicating that their defense needs improvement, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 outings.

Moquegua is experiencing a historic moment as they compete in the national elite for the first time. Founded in 2021, the club knows that the level of the first division is very high and requires quick adaptation. Their main goal this season is to stay in the competition. In this debut, the team should adopt a more cautious stance, focusing on organization. Earning points away from home would be important to build confidence against the challenges of the league.

Best prediction for Comerciantes x UCV Moquegua

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

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